UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread

[Former President tack50]

Ok, I'll take the risk:

Con 320 (40%)
Lab 245 (35%)
Lib 10 (10%)

SNP 53 (4.5%)
Plaid 3 (0.5%)

Northern Ireland 18

UKIP 0 (3%)
Greens 1 (4%)

Conservatives short by 6

Theresa May (or if she resigns, her successor) stays in office thanks to the DUP, the UUP and the abstaining Sinn Fein MPs.

[Former President tack50]

I'd have Ceredigion ahead of Rhondda - the last would be a real rich, never mind two past that...

I mean, maybe Plaid does in Wales what the SNP did in Scotland? If they replicated the SNP's 2015 vote performance the results would be:

PC 40
Everyone else 0

If they replicated the SNP's polling average for this election (around 42-25-25-5) then the results would be:

PC 29
Con 7
Lab 4

Not like either scenario is likely at all though.

[Former President tack50]

It's somewhat odd to see so many american democrats here rooting for corbyn, who is far far to the left of the democratic party. May is left of even hillary on some issues, yet many people who voted for hillary are pulling for corbyn.

To be fair, they don't really have an alternative. Theresa May isn't much better for them and the UK has a 2 party system (not as strict as the American one but still a 2 party system)

I do think the Lib Dems should be their first choice though, not Labour.

[Former President tack50]

Ok, my new prediction. It's almost the same as my last prediction though. Changed from Con+5 to Con+4 on the popular vote, and took 3 seats from the SNP and gave them to Labour (not like I think Labour will get 4 Scottish seats, more like Con gains 3 in Scotland but loses more in England and Wales):

Con 320 (40%)
Lab 248 (36%)
Lib 10 (9%)

SNP 50 (4.5%)
Plaid 3 (0.5%)

Northern Ireland 18

UKIP 0 (3%)
Greens 1 (4%)

Conservatives short by 6

Theresa May (or if she resigns, her successor) stays in office thanks to the DUP, the UUP and the abstaining Sinn Fein MPs.

[Former President tack50]

Ok, my new prediction. It's almost the same as my last prediction though. Changed from Con+5 to Con+4 on the popular vote, and took 3 seats from the SNP and gave them to Labour (not like I think Labour will get 4 Scottish seats, more like Con gains 3 in Scotland but loses more in England and Wales):

Con 320 (40%)
Lab 248 (36%)
Lib 10 (9%)

SNP 50 (4.5%)
Plaid 3 (0.5%)

Northern Ireland 18

UKIP 0 (3%)
Greens 1 (4%)

Conservatives short by 6

Theresa May (or if she resigns, her successor) stays in office thanks to the DUP, the UUP and the abstaining Sinn Fein MPs.

Well, I did get the Conservatives almost perfectly.

The Lib Dems and Labour aren't too far off either, I did overestimate the SNP by a lot though.