GA: Insider Advantage: McCain leads Georgia by 1%

[Stranger in a strange land]

I'll wait for another poll (or 2) before I pass judgement on this one. Obama is likely to outperform Kerry, but I doubt he can actually win, or even make it close.

[Stranger in a strange land]

does anyone know what African American turnout in Ga was in 2004?

CNN's 2004 exit poll had them at 25% of the electorate against 30% of the population.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/GA/P/00/epolls.0.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_%28U.S._state%29#Race.2C_language.2C_and_age

Bush did almost as well among white evangelicals as Kerry did among blacks, and white evangelicals were 35% of the electorate vs 25% for African Americans. Also notable, although Latinos were only 4% of the electorate in Georgia in 2004, Bush won them.