Hillary giving up?

[Stranger in a strange land]

I think it's a combination of 2 and 4: she knows California will be the decisive state on Super Tuesday: if she loses, it gives Obama HUGE momentum. If she wins, the pressure will start mounting on him to drop out. I think she knows she'll win NY and NJ, and is just trying to rack up delegates.

[Stranger in a strange land]

The neighboring state argument only works in a few select cases: (1) when people live in small states near a major city and watch that city's TV (ie the tri-state), (2) areas directly along the border of the candidate's state where people can watch local TV and hear radio from that state, and (3) in the only 2 regions that still have a regionalist mentality,the South and New England, though New England displays 1 and 2 as well due to Boston and small state size.