CT Gov: Malloy OUT

[choclatechip45]

That would be Jim Himes' district. 

He would have a better shot winning the governorship even though he lacks name recognition. I live in Himes district and would be surprised if a republican were to beat him with a republican in the White House especially  with how unpopular Trump is in the district. Since George W Bush being unpopular was  Shays downfall plus with Obama's big turnout. The district is more blue than it was in '08.

[choclatechip45]

I honestly think people are underestimating the likelihood of a Republican victory here. Democrats don’t really have a good, solid candidate, and we nutmeggers are very open to the right kind of Republican as governor.

I thought so too until I saw the results of all the mayor races across the state Democrats flipped a bunch of mayorships in wealthy suburban towns which doesn't make a lot of sense due to Malloy's unpopularity so it definitely is the anti-trump effect. If the wealthy towns vote for the democrat candidate right along with the liberal cities their aren't a whole lot of votes left. Plus the CT GOP has been openly embracing Trump which is a dumb move. I think the race is lean-D.

[choclatechip45]

What do you guys think about Dan Drew?

Edit: Changed my wording because "y'all" is unbearably corny coming from someone like myself.

He keeps getting himself involved in stupid scandals making rookie mistakes like using the list of police officers to send out fundraising letters and his chief of staff resigning for making contributions to local DTC's on Team Drew's behalf.

[choclatechip45]

William Tong will be probably be the frontrunner for the AG job. Not sure if he will win since he was favored to win the Stamford Mayors  Democratic Nomination in 2013 and lost. As a Stamford Resident I like Tong and this is probably his best bet for his statewide ambitions.

[choclatechip45]

I'm not sure how I feel about Lamont running. I don't want Ganim winning the nomination plus no one the democratic side has stood out plus Mattei might run for AG now. Also, he has no links to Malloy which is a good thing. The downside from what I remember from 2010 is that he isn't a good debater and CT really does not like Rich Greenwich people with not a lot of political experience running for statewide office.

[choclatechip45]

Chris Mattei (D) is dropping out to run for AG. Democrats are quickly running low on candidates...

https://mobile.twitter.com/ChrisMatteiCT/status/937715393384161280

Democrats still have more candidates than they did in 2010 when it was just Malloy and Lamont.

[choclatechip45]

Chris Mattei (D) is dropping out to run for AG. Democrats are quickly running low on candidates...

https://mobile.twitter.com/ChrisMatteiCT/status/937715393384161280

Democrats still have more candidates than they did in 2010 when it was just Malloy and Lamont.

Democrats hardly need need an A-lister to win here anyway IMO.

As a CT Resident I agree. As long as Ganim doesn’t win the nomination or the nominee isn’t involved in some big scandal.

[choclatechip45]

Great way to start off a campaign. I hope Ganim drops out.
https://www.ctpost.com/news/article/Joe-Ganim-takes-his-campaign-across-state-12470484.php

[choclatechip45]

I've actually gone down and met Lumaj, Herbst, and Srinivasan, and I'm going to be meeting Stefanowski in February. They're actually looking really strong.  Malloy is absolutely despised. When you actually live in the state he governs and don't look into it like a fish bowl, you realize he's been a pathetic failure. He's literally only there because Foley was an oaf, and CT GOP gains in the GA in 2016 should show that people are sick of Malloy-style governance, especially with cuts to municipal aid and the general budget nightmare.

Tilt R for now, closer to Lean. And don't even start to give me the "muh midterm anti-incumbency." Rell 2006 will prove to you that that doesn't apply to Connecticut on a state government level.

All of those guys are way to right wing for  CT. People I know who don’t even follow politics already hate Lumaj due to his deportation comment. The only republicans who could win are Handler and Stewart if she declares. All the people I know hate Malloy, but hate the Republican Party more. The only way the republicans have a shot is if Ganim or Bysiewicz wins the nominee.

[choclatechip45]

I've actually gone down and met Lumaj, Herbst, and Srinivasan, and I'm going to be meeting Stefanowski in February. They're actually looking really strong.  Malloy is absolutely despised. When you actually live in the state he governs and don't look into it like a fish bowl, you realize he's been a pathetic failure. He's literally only there because Foley was an oaf, and CT GOP gains in the GA in 2016 should show that people are sick of Malloy-style governance, especially with cuts to municipal aid and the general budget nightmare.

Tilt R for now, closer to Lean. And don't even start to give me the "muh midterm anti-incumbency." Rell 2006 will prove to you that that doesn't apply to Connecticut on a state government level.

All of those guys are way to right wing for  CT. People I know who don’t even follow politics already hate Lumaj due to his deportation comment. The only republicans who could win are Handel and Stewart if she declares. All the people I know hate Malloy, but hate the Republican Party more. The only way the republicans have a shot is if Ganim or Bysiewicz wins the nominee.

Who is Handel???

Meant Mike Handler stupid autocorrect.

[choclatechip45]

I've actually gone down and met Lumaj, Herbst, and Srinivasan, and I'm going to be meeting Stefanowski in February. They're actually looking really strong.  Malloy is absolutely despised. When you actually live in the state he governs and don't look into it like a fish bowl, you realize he's been a pathetic failure. He's literally only there because Foley was an oaf, and CT GOP gains in the GA in 2016 should show that people are sick of Malloy-style governance, especially with cuts to municipal aid and the general budget nightmare.

Tilt R for now, closer to Lean. And don't even start to give me the "muh midterm anti-incumbency." Rell 2006 will prove to you that that doesn't apply to Connecticut on a state government level.

All of those guys are way to right wing for  CT. People I know who don’t even follow politics already hate Lumaj due to his deportation comment. The only republicans who could win are Handel and Stewart if she declares. All the people I know hate Malloy, but hate the Republican Party more. The only way the republicans have a shot is if Ganim or Bysiewicz wins the nominee.

Who is Handel???

Meant Mike Handler stupid autocorrect.

Thanks! Didn't heard about him before, so - it was an interesting info. Though Srinivasan also seemed to be moderate to me. And possibly Hwang as well...

Hwang hasn’t said what he is running for yet. I think Srinivasan is to conservative for CT. The problem with Handler is that I live in Stamford the town he runs the finances for and I have never heard of heard of him before he became a candidate and neither does anyone I know. Also I don’t know if CT will elect another person who is running based on their record in Stamford since that’s what’s Malloy ran on in 2010.

A big problem is that every republican running  for governor said they supported the new tax plan. I don’t know many people in CT who are happy about SALT going away even people who are republicans.  It will be interesting if that becomes an issue. The biggest advantage Jodi Rell had was you can’t really connect a governor to the Iraq war and she had a history of bipartisanship and could run on that. None of the republicans running have that history. obviously everything I say is anecdotal.

[choclatechip45]

Erin Stewart is the only republican who makes me nervous. She has been open saying she isn't running for LT Governor so she probably is running for Governor. Don't know if she could make it through the primary.

[choclatechip45]

It will be interesting if her age hurts you among rich republican types since people in CT are pretensiois. Her former campaign manager who is the current GOP chair in CT defended Trumps Charlottesville comments and is good friends with Carl Higbie. Those things will hurt her.  Besides that she is probably the strongest GOP candidate, but let’s see if she wins the nomination.

[choclatechip45]

Lamont's the elephant in the room and the best chance Democrats have of keeping the governorship.

However, the odds are very good that the GOP will take back the Governor's mansion. The economy in CT, as many of you have noted, is in dire straits. The public's loathing of Malloy is palpable. You have to visit here to see this calamity for yourself. I was sent to work in Hartford for two months late last year The bitterness, the open anger I encountered directed against the local administration, the Governor, all Democrats, is vicious. And the Democrats 'own' this misery since they control the entire government.

I just don't see an escape valve, and predict Connecticut will go to the GOP.

I live in Stamford and while people don't like Malloy they hate Trump more. If the CT GOP was smart they would distance themselves from him instead they are calling him and his administration incredible.  Saying an administration that only has a 31% approval rating in the state is a stupid move.

[choclatechip45]

CT GOP is trying to prove they are not a moderate party.
http://m.ctpost.com/news/article/Republicans-Lame-duck-governor-12556208.php#photo-14829970

[choclatechip45]

Which Republican candidate is the most conservative? Which is the most electable?

The only one who would have a chance is Erin Stewart. The rest are too conservative. I this race is lean D unless Ganim becomes the democratic nominee. If he does it becomes a toss up.