Democratic Primary Bullock vs. Booker (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2024, 05:29:28 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Democratic Primary Bullock vs. Booker (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Democratic Primary Bullock vs. Booker  (Read 777 times)
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


« on: May 11, 2017, 09:43:34 PM »

Let's say in 2020 Warren doesn't run and Bullock ends up running as the responsible progressive candidate. He uses his lawsuit against the Citizens United ruling as progressive credentials to win over a solid portions of Sanders voters who look for an authentic politician. In a very large field he eeks out a victory in Iowa over Amy Klobuchar. He goes on to win the NH primary with a large plurality of the votes. After that he loses the Nevada and South Carolina caucus/primary to Booker, who's been trying to run as Obama 2.0 . All of the other candidates at this point have dropped out. Who do you think wins? Discuss with maps.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2017, 09:47:31 PM »

I don't think Booker would lose Nevada if he were to win Iowa and New Hampshire, but if he were to, it'd be a small enough loss to offset Booker's win in South Carolina either way.
Let's say it's close but Bullock splits the progressive vote with Kamala Harris.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2017, 09:55:42 PM »

I don't think Booker would lose Nevada if he were to win Iowa and New Hampshire, but if he were to, it'd be a small enough loss to offset Booker's win in South Carolina either way.
Let's say it's close but Bullock splits the progressive vote with Kamala Harris.

Even if the progressive vote is split in the first four states with Harris, Bullock's victory in Iowa and New Hampshire would still probably propel him to front runner, especially since you said all other candidates have dropped out post-SC.
I understand that. Possibly then a narrow Bullock victory in Nevada with Booker in close second. Meanwhile Booker crushes the SC primary with Obama tier numbers. If you don't wanna go along with scenario that's fine I'd still like to see people's maps.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


« Reply #3 on: May 12, 2017, 12:17:25 PM »


Bullock wouldn't have the same appeal as Sanders in any of the green states except for MT and mayyybe WV, and Booker is a much better candidate than Clinton (though that's not saying much) - higher AA turnout alone should be enough for him to win in MI, and I highly doubt he'd do worse than Clinton among White voters in the Midwest. Plus, it's not as if Bullock is some populist hero and Booker is just the awful neoliberal - it's not as simple as this forum wants you to believe.

But yeah, I know you want 2020 to be a Phil Scott/John Kasich vs. John Bel Edwards/Steve Bullock race. Wink
I don't see how you get Booker as being a strong candidate. Hillary was able to dominate the early primaries largely on the back of name recognition. She still had allies amongst the older WWC Dems. I thinks it's extremely important to examine the Obama '08 and Clinton '16 primary coalitions very carefully. Booker will probably do well with black voters, but it remains to be seen how he appeals to the growing progressive base of the party. He actually suffers a lot of similar flaws tof Clinton. He's seen by large portion of the base as corrupt/shady, and he's bound to do poorly with working class whites. If anything he's a weaker candidate than Clinton. Clinton was the first lady of a beloved president. Booker's a nobody outside of political circles. I especially think you underestimate Bullock's appeal with the Sanders base. To the Sander's base authenticity is key, and Bullock is extremely authentic. He also has progressive credentials. He'll use that as leverage to paint Booker as the big money "Washington" candidate. He comes across as much more palatable to older white voters as well though. He's not an old socialist Jew so I think that'll help him with those voters.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 13 queries.