MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses

[McGovernForPrez]

With Gianforte likely to win the special election for the House, he could likely be a main contender for Governor in 2020. And with Zinke gone as the senate candidate against Tester in 2018, and no other republican set to take his place, this is likely Tim Fox's best opportunity. Wouldn't be surprised if he goes for it. Tester vs Fox would be a toss up in my opinion.

Since when is Gianforte a likely win in the special election? Dude got BTFO by Bullock, and he's running against a native son in a Trump special election. I don't think Montanans really like Gianforte very much.

[McGovernForPrez]

Since when is Gianforte a likely win in the special election? Dude got BTFO by Bullock, and he's running against a native son in a Trump special election. I don't think Montanans really like Gianforte very much.

No, they don't, and his negatives are certainly higher than Quist's (which also has to do with the fact that he was already attacked relentlessly when he ran for governor), but reading this forum you would think that he is some kind of Todd Akin, lol. His campaign for governor was far from perfect, but Bullock was never going to be beaten, and a 4-point loss was still much better than Cole's, Minter's, Koster's, etc. showing - and these people weren't even running against incumbents. Incumbent Democratic governors in Montana generally don't lose reelection unless the Republicans recruit a top-tier candidate and the state is in extremely bad shape.

You're not wrong, but I feel like the fact that it happened during a Trump win in the state by over 20 points, suggests and extreme weakness. Add in the fact that this is a special election and I think this race is pure tossup.