DCCC expands their target list

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Buttigieg should run in IN-02.

I'm a fan of Pete, but I'm also skeptical that he is able to win IN-02. Where would he find the votes to defeat Walorski outside of South Bend? The regional demographics seem to be shifting away from the Democrats in IN-02 outside of the greater South Bend area.

That being said! If Buttigeg wants to earn his "rising star" badge, he'd better win this race - a relatively moderate (if incumbent-favoring... FWIW Donnelly managed to hold on to this seat in the awful 2010 wave) WWC district should be pickup material.

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Buttigieg should run in IN-02.

I'm a fan of Pete, but I'm also skeptical that he is able to win IN-02. Where would he find the votes to defeat Walorski outside of South Bend? The regional demographics seem to be shifting away from the Democrats in IN-02 outside of the greater South Bend area.

That being said! If Buttigeg wants to earn his "rising star" badge, he'd better win this race - a relatively moderate (if incumbent-favoring... FWIW Donnelly managed to hold on to this seat in the awful 2010 wave) WWC district should be pickup material.

IN-02 got a fair bit more conservative upon redistricting, IIRC.

Great catch. Yes, it went from R+2 to R+7. And has drifted to R+12 since. It would be a tall order for Pete.

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Buttigieg should run in IN-02.

I'm a fan of Pete, but I'm also skeptical that he is able to win IN-02. Where would he find the votes to defeat Walorski outside of South Bend? The regional demographics seem to be shifting away from the Democrats in IN-02 outside of the greater South Bend area.

That being said! If Buttigeg wants to earn his "rising star" badge, he'd better win this race - a relatively moderate (if incumbent-favoring... FWIW Donnelly managed to hold on to this seat in the awful 2010 wave) WWC district should be pickup material.

IN-02 got a fair bit more conservative upon redistricting, IIRC.

Great catch. Yes, it went from R+2 to R+7. And has drifted to R+12 since. It would be a tall order for Pete.

She was running as a non-incumbent, but Walorski barely won it in 2012.

Voters may have been familiar with her after her run against Donnelly in '10. Since being elected, she's faced - frankly - a couple of poor candidates and blown them out of the water. I guess long story short, Walorski isn't unbeatable, but Pete would have to run a near-perfect campaign in a near-wave situation in order to make this competitive.

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Would Buttigieg hold out for IN-Gov in 2020?

Depends on how Holcolmb fares. He's fairly popular now, moreso than Pence prior to the latter joining the ticket. Barring a scandal or an apocalyptic environment for Republicans all around, he'd get massacred in a gubernatorial run, tbh.

His best bet to continue to advance his national profile, aside from running for IN-02 and winning, is to hope for a Democratic admin in '20 and cut some serious deals for a cabinet appointment a la Julian Castro.

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

Would Buttigieg hold out for IN-Gov in 2020?

I highly doubt it - Holcomb, our Governor, is very popular and has basically gone the exact opposite route as Pence (from Religious ideologue to pragmatic, business-first)

Thankfully, a Daniels redux.