Israel General Elections || 23.03.2021

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

wait israel has another election today wtf lmao

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bibi at 59/60 in all exit polls now lets GOOOOOO

I think it's because of willacy county

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

id vote for yesh atid btw

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

After 156K votes counted (%):
Likud: 27.09
Yesh Atid: 10.65
Shas: 7.88
Beitenu: 6.72
Yamina: 6.54
Religious Zionism: 6.45
UTJ: 5.88
Blue And White: 5.53
Labour: 5.33
Joint List: 4.55
RAAM: 4.37
New Hope: 4.14
Meretz: 3.34

After 417K votes counted (%):
Likud: 25.91
Yesh Atid: 11.43
Shas: 8.69
UTJ: 8.47
Beitenu: 6.1
Yamina: 5.86
Blue And White: 5.69
Religious Zionism: 5.36
Labour: 5.19
Joint List: 4.3
New Hope: 4.29
RAAM: 3.65
Meretz: 3.54

why does that only add up to 87.43

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

After 156K votes counted (%):
Likud: 27.09
Yesh Atid: 10.65
Shas: 7.88
Beitenu: 6.72
Yamina: 6.54
Religious Zionism: 6.45
UTJ: 5.88
Blue And White: 5.53
Labour: 5.33
Joint List: 4.55
RAAM: 4.37
New Hope: 4.14
Meretz: 3.34

After 417K votes counted (%):
Likud: 25.91
Yesh Atid: 11.43
Shas: 8.69
UTJ: 8.47
Beitenu: 6.1
Yamina: 5.86
Blue And White: 5.69
Religious Zionism: 5.36
Labour: 5.19
Joint List: 4.3
New Hope: 4.29
RAAM: 3.65
Meretz: 3.54

why does that only add up to 87.43

I calculate that it adds up to 98.48 (the rest going to minor parties that I didn't bother writing).

oops sorry my bad

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

cheering for raam to hopefully stay above 3.25

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

cheering for raam to hopefully stay above 3.25

You do know Ra'am prefers Bibi to Lapid et al. and is willing to go into government with him, right?

ill believe that when I see it lol

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

it's not worth it at all for netanyahu to accept raam into his government. Court arab voters? Sure. Actually accept raam, lolno.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

it's not worth it at all for netanyahu to accept raam into his government. Court arab voters? Sure. Actually accept raam, lolno.

cheering for raam to hopefully stay above 3.25

You do know Ra'am prefers Bibi to YA/Sa'ar and is willing to go into government with him, right?

Ra'am has said it will NOT support a govt with the Kahanists, and vice versa, so that option is mathematically off the table. Doesn't matter.

The Ra'am option is impossible because the Kahanists literally want to strip citizenship of all Arab citizens. Abbas and Ben Gvir denounced each others intentions when Ra'am talked about supporting Likud. The Kahanists are key to Likuds hypothetical majority, so a different coalition would need to be discovered in order for the Ra'am option to work.

shas utj and avigdor would be headaches too even, it simply isnt worth it to include raam.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

After 893K votes counted (%):
Likud: 25.13
Yesh Atid: 11.6
Shas: 8.66
UTJ: 7.93
Beitenu: 6.13
Blue And White: 5.76
Yamina: 5.73
Religious Zionism: 5.35
Labour: 5.22
Joint List: 5.04
New Hope: 4.36
RAAM: 3.83
Meretz: 3.76

After 1.25M votes counted (%):
Likud: 24.98
Yesh Atid: 11.69
Shas: 8.47
UTJ: 7.62
Beitenu: 6.02
Yamina: 5.82
Blue And White: 5.78
Religious Zionism: 5.6
Joint List: 5.58
Labour: 5.17
New Hope: 4.38
Meretz: 3.8
RAAM: 3.6

looks like the right wing parties are ahead 63-37 rn, cities must be out

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

honestly
the only real bibiless future possible in the near future
is something like an eventual campaign season where u have the anti bibi coalition ditch the arab parties
and instead try and pickup avigdor, bennett, and saar
and
keep hoping for more ppl like bennett and saar to keep peeling off
from likud

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

it's not worth it at all for netanyahu to accept raam into his government. Court arab voters? Sure. Actually accept raam, lolno.

cheering for raam to hopefully stay above 3.25

You do know Ra'am prefers Bibi to YA/Sa'ar and is willing to go into government with him, right?

Ra'am has said it will NOT support a govt with the Kahanists, and vice versa, so that option is mathematically off the table. Doesn't matter.

The Ra'am option is impossible because the Kahanists literally want to strip citizenship of all Arab citizens. Abbas and Ben Gvir denounced each others intentions when Ra'am talked about supporting Likud. The Kahanists are key to Likuds hypothetical majority, so a different coalition would need to be discovered in order for the Ra'am option to work.

Does this mean just the literal Kahanists, or RZ as a whole? In terms of literal Kahanists, Ben-Gvir is #3 on the RZ list, but after him the others from his party are in various unwinnable slots, and I'm sure Bibi would be willing to cut off Ben-Gvir to let Ra'am support him.

If it means RZ as a whole, then that might be a much tougher ask.

but would shas and utj really be able to stomach being in a majority with raam lol