State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Final guess, Boysko wins 65-35.

Looks like 70-30

Woah, that is really good!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

We nominated a muslim for Boysko’s old state hous seat, on February 19th he will become a state house member, exciting.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.

Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.

Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

Eh, C'est La Vie. All that matters at this moment is that we win this seat.

Hopefully, the GOP really geared up for this race and is taking it very seriously. They got a really good candidate. This was one of the very few areas that the GOP picked up in the US House in the entire nation in 2018. Granted, the incumbent left, but so did the incumbent here too. This is ripe flipping ground.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.

Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

Eh, C'est La Vie. All that matters at this moment is that we win this seat.

Hopefully, the GOP really geared up for this race and is taking it very seriously. They got a really good candidate. This was one of the very few areas that the GOP picked up in the US House in the entire nation in 2018. Granted, the incumbent left, but so did the incumbent here too. This is ripe flipping ground.

It is safe democrat, look at this objectively.

"Safe dem", lol, sorry, I bet even most of Atlas would not go that far.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.

Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

Eh, C'est La Vie. All that matters at this moment is that we win this seat.

Hopefully, the GOP really geared up for this race and is taking it very seriously. They got a really good candidate. This was one of the very few areas that the GOP picked up in the US House in the entire nation in 2018. Granted, the incumbent left, but so did the incumbent here too. This is ripe flipping ground.

It is safe democrat, look at this objectively.

"Safe dem", lol, sorry, I bet even most of Atlas would not go that far.

it will be narrow, but there is an 100% chance that it goes democrat.

Lol no, Rarick has more than a 0% chance of winning, and a narrow race cannot be safe D.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.

Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

Eh, C'est La Vie. All that matters at this moment is that we win this seat.

Hopefully, the GOP really geared up for this race and is taking it very seriously. They got a really good candidate. This was one of the very few areas that the GOP picked up in the US House in the entire nation in 2018. Granted, the incumbent left, but so did the incumbent here too. This is ripe flipping ground.

It is safe democrat, look at this objectively.

"Safe dem", lol, sorry, I bet even most of Atlas would not go that far.

it will be narrow, but there is an 100% chance that it goes democrat.

Lol no, Rarick has more than a 0% chance of winning, and a narrow race cannot be safe D.

ms sen special was safe r, and it was pretty narrow.

It was Likely R.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.


Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

Eh, C'est La Vie. All that matters at this moment is that we win this seat.

Hopefully, the GOP really geared up for this race and is taking it very seriously. They got a really good candidate. This was one of the very few areas that the GOP picked up in the US House in the entire nation in 2018. Granted, the incumbent left, but so did the incumbent here too. This is ripe flipping ground.

It is safe democrat, look at this objectively.

"Safe dem", lol, sorry, I bet even most of Atlas would not go that far.

it will be narrow, but there is an 100% chance that it goes democrat.

Lol no, Rarick has more than a 0% chance of winning, and a narrow race cannot be safe D.

ms sen special was safe r, and it was pretty narrow.

It was Likely R.

no, it was safe r, you said so

I also said she would win 61-39, hindsight changes things. With hindsight, that was likely R.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cool, the Republican won the race against the Republican! So riveting.


Anyway, onto the big show for today! MN!

I am queasy about this one. This was completely unnecessary, Walz should have picked somebody from a solid blue seat in the twin cities or somewhere else. Why pick somebody from this kind of a district? Why risk it? Surely there are qualified people from solid blue areas in the twin cities, duluth proper, rochester proper, moorehead proper, etc. all around the state.

Eh, C'est La Vie. All that matters at this moment is that we win this seat.

Hopefully, the GOP really geared up for this race and is taking it very seriously. They got a really good candidate. This was one of the very few areas that the GOP picked up in the US House in the entire nation in 2018. Granted, the incumbent left, but so did the incumbent here too. This is ripe flipping ground.

It is safe democrat, look at this objectively.

"Safe dem", lol, sorry, I bet even most of Atlas would not go that far.

it will be narrow, but there is an 100% chance that it goes democrat.

Lol no, Rarick has more than a 0% chance of winning, and a narrow race cannot be safe D.

ms sen special was safe r, and it was pretty narrow.

It was Likely R.

no, it was safe r, you said so

I also said she would win 61-39, hindsight changes things. With hindsight, that was likely R.

link to results

https://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/Results/StateSenate/119?districtid=499

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Rarick is now surging ahead.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Rarick is now surging ahead.

lmao, just wait till it crashes

You thought it was safe D and gave Rarick a 0% chance dunce.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It ain't over yet, but Lourey is chewing through Carlton awful fast.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Ratico has this. Crushing loss for the Minnesota DFL.

lol, he is going to lose, no doubt

This post will looks so dumb in about 30 minutes.

lol k,same for you

Ok Safe D 0% Rarick.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Pointless self own by Walz here.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

The race isnt even over you two. Quit it with the #DemsInDisarray garbage.

I literally said it ain't over just a few mins ago.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

The race isnt even over you two. Quit it with the #DemsInDisarray garbage.

dude, lourey is winning newberg precincts, this is over the other way

I expect an apology when this is over.

as long as you do the same when lourey wins

I don't owe jack schitt regarding that Safe D 0% Rarick. I said that this would be a close 51-46 race, and it is not over yet.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

The race isnt even over you two. Quit it with the #DemsInDisarray garbage.

It ain't over yet, but Lourey is chewing through Carlton awful fast.

I literally said it is not over.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Walz already gave away MN 1st to the GOP, hopefully he did not give this one away too.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

The race isnt even over you two. Quit it with the #DemsInDisarray garbage.

It ain't over yet, but Lourey is chewing through Carlton awful fast.

I literally said it is not over.

Pointless self own by Walz here.

It aint a self-own if the Ds win the seat.

It is. Thousands of dollars and a crap ton of effort would be spent to squeak by, meanwhile he could have just picked someone from a safe seat, spent and done nothing, and we would just coast.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Rarick just stormed into the lead again, this is probably insurmountable at this point.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Pretty big dump from Pine. Time to see what the rest of the district has to say.

Carlton is almost done, Rarick has this.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

hmm... oh boy i dont wanna apologize to limo

Haha

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Walz, I am sorry, but you have been a real pain giving up MN 1 and now this.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Someone on reddit who lives in GA HD-176 (he's a Democrat, for the record) had this to say about the race that would explain a lot:
"From my point of view this was always a two man race between Patten and Burchett with the majority of people not even knowing that the two Democrats ran. Patten is a Democrat turned moderate Republican (if there's even such a thing anymore) and Burchett is a Trump cultist. The race was framed as the Republican Burchett vs the Democrat Patten so I suspect an inconveniently large number of Democratic votes went to Patten"

Finally - good explanation of results.

Or just dem excuses for another sh!t performance.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Get ready to have Samirah sent to Richmond!