OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (user search)
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 110918 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #50 on: August 06, 2018, 07:11:32 PM »
« edited: August 06, 2018, 07:30:08 PM by Virginiá »

Buckeyenut is a nut, but he was right turning down this futile job that would have been a waste of time cuz meet your new congressman, SON OF BALDER:
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #51 on: August 06, 2018, 07:13:37 PM »

I see where future congressman Balderson is coming from. I  would rather have O'Connor stayed in the countryside, better for election chances, but oh well.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #52 on: August 06, 2018, 07:57:12 PM »

So what? That's not going to prevent a win by future congressman Balderson.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #53 on: August 06, 2018, 09:36:09 PM »
Quote from: Pope Michael Bolton on August 06, 2018, 09:35:16 PM
More anecdotals: My mom is a registered Republican (voted Kasich in the 2016 primary) and my parents’ house (very wealthy part of Gahanna) has been visited five times by O’Connor’s campaign, nothing from the Balderson folks.  My aunt and uncle (independent and Republican, respectively) live in a particularly country clubby part of New Albany and have been visited three times by O’Connor’s campaign, nothing from Balderson’s campaign.  

So what do their ballots look like if they are voting?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #54 on: August 06, 2018, 09:42:41 PM »
Quote from: Pope Michael Bolton on August 06, 2018, 09:41:02 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 06, 2018, 09:36:09 PM
Quote from: Pope Michael Bolton on August 06, 2018, 09:35:16 PM
More anecdotals: My mom is a registered Republican (voted Kasich in the 2016 primary) and my parents’ house (very wealthy part of Gahanna) has been visited five times by O’Connor’s campaign, nothing from the Balderson folks.  My aunt and uncle (independent and Republican, respectively) live in a particularly country clubby part of New Albany and have been visited three times by O’Connor’s campaign, nothing from Balderson’s campaign.  

So what do their ballots look like if they are voting?

All O’Connor (along with one of my cousins who is also a Republican) except for my uncle who isn’t going to vote because while he doesn’t like Balderson, he’ll never support a Democrat.

Oh nice, kudos to all of yall, even the one who sat it out, better than a ballot for balderson!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #55 on: August 06, 2018, 11:29:57 PM »
Quote from: Free Bird on August 06, 2018, 11:20:52 PM
If the Emerson (lol) poll were after the rally, then I'd predict an O'Connor win by about that margin, but it wasn't. We gotta remember that Saccone was down about 5 or so before Trump swooped in to stump for him, and said stumping erased that deficit into the virtual tie that that race was. So now, I could see it go either way. I genuinely don't know.

Why do some many GOPer's knock "the polls" cuz muh Trump 2016, but along with Trump take that ONE poll about PA 18th as gospel? Because it suits your narrative. Now I tend to lean more towards objectivity in my predictions regardless of outcome, hence my Balderson will win predictition. Heck, I even am a little bias against dems in my predictions.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #56 on: August 06, 2018, 11:57:44 PM »
I'm like 93% certain that son of Balder will be the victor.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #57 on: August 07, 2018, 01:21:00 AM »
There is a special place in left wing hell for all the left wingers who vote for Manchik.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #58 on: August 07, 2018, 02:13:37 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on August 07, 2018, 02:09:01 AM
Go Danny !

Can't wait for the results. When are polls closing (Central European Time) ?

2.30am ?

I think 12:30 AM CET but don't count on it.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #59 on: August 07, 2018, 02:55:43 AM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 07, 2018, 02:39:19 AM
Good morning everyone! As we approach poll openings, PredictIt has OH-12 at exactly 50-50. Here we go.

Future Congressman Balderson will win little doubt, congrats to O'Connor on a hard fought campaign that was winnable with a better dem candidate but oh well, and don't even think about Ohio 12th in november.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #60 on: August 07, 2018, 03:19:10 AM »
« Edited: August 07, 2018, 03:22:25 AM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 07, 2018, 03:00:14 AM
Why shouldnt Dems think about it in Nov? Theres no coattails to run on in the special. Dems need Sherrod Brown's coattails to be competetive. Dems have won every race, except for 2008 with him on ballot: 2006, 2012, lost 2010, 2014 and 2016.

cuz ge turnout tends to be more favorable to the gop in this district and also nearly all dems and national money as well as grassroots throughout the nation will completely ditch this district when O'Connor loses today, like Georgia 6th, and AZ 8th, Ohio 12th will turn into Likely R for the GE this fall. It turns back into a pumpkin, and the only way it flips is a mooreing or a blue tsunami. People will forget about this race because there will be many many many districts that are better spots for us to secure a win before this district, and everyone will be too busy with those to really care about Ohio 12th which will just be rightfully forgotten in the fray. And reenter obscurity till after redistricting.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #61 on: August 07, 2018, 03:24:38 AM »
This truly is a now or never moment for dems in Ohio 12th for the next four years till redistricting, and I am fairly confident that we are going to blow it. That said, if O'Connor somehow defies all odds and eeks it out, consider him a strong favorite for november.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #62 on: August 07, 2018, 08:07:37 AM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 07, 2018, 07:07:28 AM
I swear to god Bagel if you make one more reply to this thread saying Balderson is going to win by 6 or some other hogwash I'm launching an ICBM at suburban Dallas

Lol, It's not like it's within the rcp moe or anything, as soon as polls close I can basically start calling Balderson congressman-elect.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #63 on: August 07, 2018, 08:12:18 AM »
how will turnout in inner city Gahanna be like?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
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Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #64 on: August 07, 2018, 08:25:45 AM »
I'm going to start referring to O'Connor as O'Goner now, nice to get a head start and get used to it early.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #65 on: August 07, 2018, 08:38:38 AM »
Quote from: mgop on August 07, 2018, 08:35:39 AM
damn, i didn't know democrats are that desperate to win one lousy seat... to many washed up hollywood puppets support young o'connor. check this out: chelsea handler, piper perabo, christoper meloni, misha collins, sarah silverman, joshua malina, valerie bertinelli, george tekei, debra messing... desperate!

Lol Will Bailey from West Wing!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #66 on: August 07, 2018, 08:45:20 AM »
Ugh, so yesterday I wanted to phone bank at 2am but it was closed, and today when it is open I go to put in my info and sign up, but Danny's mobile site sucks! It would not even work so I just gave up for now. Literally Danny fix your mobile site!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #67 on: August 07, 2018, 08:59:46 AM »
Got this phonebank thing working, Imma see if I can make some calls for Danny.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #68 on: August 07, 2018, 09:22:48 AM »
I just made 10 calls, I left like 3 messages, got 6 that were disconnected or wrong numbers, and one definite no. I'm pretty convinced that this whole phone bank thing is ineffective, oh well I did enough.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #69 on: August 07, 2018, 09:25:07 AM »
Quote from: RubioRepublican on August 07, 2018, 09:19:37 AM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 07, 2018, 08:45:20 AM
Ugh, so yesterday I wanted to phone bank at 2am but it was closed, and today when it is open I go to put in my info and sign up, but Danny's mobile site sucks! It would not even work so I just gave up for now. Literally Danny fix your mobile site!

Just when I think you couldn’t possibly be stupider

Believe it or not, there are quiet a few people up at those hours, especially younger dems so I think the phone bank should be open 24 hours a day.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #70 on: August 07, 2018, 09:30:13 AM »
Ugh, why are all these elitist celebrities that have no business in Ohio 12th sticking their faces in it and telling everyone what to do? Almost makes me want Balderson to win to teach them a lesson. Nonetheless, go O'Connor!
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #71 on: August 07, 2018, 09:59:39 AM »
This race has been successfully nationalized, it's pretty much over.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #72 on: August 07, 2018, 10:03:43 AM »
Quote from: RubioRepublican on August 07, 2018, 10:02:21 AM
Hey are all Texas avatars trash with nothing useful to ever contribute

-_-

Why do far leftists love flinging personal insults so much? It's a lot like Trump.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #73 on: August 07, 2018, 10:47:47 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 07, 2018, 10:41:29 AM


SCHUYKILL SCOTT
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
« Reply #74 on: August 07, 2018, 11:32:30 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on August 07, 2018, 11:26:00 AM
This is looking like an O’Connor victory based on all the indications, but who knows.

no
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