OK. I'll go with Rasmussen (surprise), but I don't think that we should get too cocky about this one yet. Bush is at the lowest he can possibly get in approvals right now, and that's the factor of why Crist is not faring so well in these polls (other than this one). I call it for Crist in the end because Bush's approval ratings will eventually rise again; all the undecided partisans (mostly Repubs, right?) will eventually vote party lines and don't poll that way currently because of their weariness of the Bush administration.
I'm not so sure Bush's poll #'s will go back up. I know he gave that speech in Annapolis, MD, this morning, but at least many political pundits and news analyst are still saying that his speech still left a lot of questions about what is going on and going to happen in Iraq.
I also still think we, the American public, still hasn't seen the worse of what the economy will do post Katrina and the shortterm Oil crises of early September 2005, I mean there is still the possibility of more of an oil shock because of home oil heating rates rising (the midwest with it's early snow storms might be the first area will this will be evident or not) and also weather forecasters are forecasting a very long, possibly nasty and abundent hurricane season for June to November 2006 -- and that is going to be unforseen (at this time) source in many of these elections in the southeast next year.