Hypothetical Gay Marriage Referendums round world?

[Dr. MB]

Russia and Poland would not vote for it.

As for the marriages no but as for the some sort of civil union it might be possible in Poland. As for Russia I doubt that there are any chances for both.

Add Belarus and Ukraine.

[Dr. MB]

Would any “Eastern European” (formerly Communist) country vote in favor?  Slovenia, Estonia, and the Czech Republic would seem the most likely, but Slovenia turned it down in a referendum a couple years ago.

South Africa is a country with gay marriage (thanks to the court) where I’m guessing a solid majority of the people would vote against it.

Asia is a real mystery.  No country has legalized it yet.   Polls have generally shown majority support in Taiwan (which—along with Nepal—was supposed to legalize it by now—what’s the holdup?).  Thailand would be another good bet for majority support.

Oh yeah, what about Northern Ireland?  Non-Protestants would likely vote in favor, not sure if it would be enough though.

Czech and Estonia are the two least religious countries in Eastern Europe, by far. It would pass with 50–55%.

[Dr. MB]

Anglophone Caribbean would vote against it, not sure about the Spanish-speaking areas.

This 2014 survey shows 25% support in Dominican Republic and 33% in Puerto Rico. I think with enough campaigning it would be able to pass there especially since opposition is only 55% and that was three years ago, but it would have a hard time in DR and Cuba.