*More sweeping probably inaccurate prediction time!*
A year from now I predict
- Mueller will have indicted Trump
- The Republicans have refused to move forward with Trump impeachment
- The economy has a usual crash, but it's made even worse by the incompetence of the administration.
- The Democrats take the majority in the House and Senate, but not by insane margins.
So I'm gonna say 29 approve, 63 disprove.
Actually, if they were to take the Senate in 2018 against all odds, it definitely would be by an insane margin in the national Senate vote. the 2012 national Senate results had Democrats winning the collective popular vote by 12 points and winning 25/33 seats. That's quite a bloodbath.
I mean not insane margins for in the context of class 1 seats. Basically just take the 2012 results, shift the the Nevada and Arizona races a couple points to Democrats and make Missouri not a landslide for McCaskill. (I'm also assuming McCain will die before the midterms, meaning two elections in Arizona) A gain of 3 seats is far from a bloodbath. Now the House is a different story.
