AZ, FL - ABC/WaPo: Trump +1%, Trump +4%

[Arkansas Yankee]

After Truman surprised Dewey in 1948 the GOP picked a really likable war hero as its candidate in 1952

After the Trump surprise of 2016 the Democrats pick a 77 year old had not been making headway in his campaign to win this The Democrat nomination and and sinking into dementia as it nominee.
Do you see the disconnect with logical expectations.

Do you not understand that pollsters might have a problem determining turn out.

I do understand that there may be enough hate and disgust with Trump to possibly defeat Him But do you not understand that there is a possibility you will not get the turnout to defeat him.  Do you not understand some who say they will vote for him might not turn out.