2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Arkansas Yankee]

How soon will the generic polls switch to likely voters?

[Arkansas Yankee]

Here is a You Gov poll estimating House election results

https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2018/06/21/cbs-yougov-house-model-1

I probably have missed a prior posting. If so please refer me.

Their estimates:

Basic Dem 219 Rep 216.    Vote 52.7% to 47.3 s

High Democrat estimate:  Dem 232. Rep 203  Vote Dem 53.9% Rep 46.1%

High Rep. estimate  Rep. 226 Dem 209  Vote Dem 51.5 Rep. 48.5%

I think I like first.  Hard for Democrats to control.  Likely no serious impeachment efforts.  Republicans not responsible.  Senate likely remains Republican.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Note that this is Arizona only, NOT a national GCB poll:

Emerson, June 21-22, 650 registered voters

D 44
R 40

If the Democrats are up 4 in Arizona, they’re at least up 8 nationwide, or Arizona is trending D faster than we thought.

I believe we are not to discuss single states on this thread.

With respect to Arizona:Republicans have a terrible mess with McCain, Flake (what a truthfully descriptive name) and Arpaio.  That really is not true nationally.  There are some problems.  But not to the extent of Arizona.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Note that this is Arizona only, NOT a national GCB poll:

Emerson, June 21-22, 650 registered voters

D 44
R 40

If the Democrats are up 4 in Arizona, they’re at least up 8 nationwide, or Arizona is trending D faster than we thought.

I believe we are not to discuss single states on this thread.

With respect to Arizona:Republicans have a terrible mess with McCain, Flake (what a truthfully descriptive name) and Arpaio.  That really is not true nationally.  There are some problems.  But not to the extent of Arizona.

That's how these things tend to start.

Never seen anything like this trio.