Which upsets do you expect? (House/Senate/Local)

[Arkansas Yankee]

Sometime later I may post a comment on how foolish it is to make 10 year political predictions.

For now I would say you Democrats better figure a way for financing Medicare for all.  Vermont and California backed off because of this problems with that.  The folks defeated a Medicare for all referendum in Colorado by a massive amount because of this problem.

You could run in the next two elections just in opposition Trump and to the way the GOP has handled Obamacare and win significant victories. But I suspect a large number of your candidates will not be patient enough to do just that.  They will want to fight for Medicare for all. That could cause a backlash that could surprise you, if you cannot explain financing.

If you do not figure out a financing solution you will run into problems, if you win control of the government in 2020. You will also run into financing problems in shoring up Medicare for us old folks and social security.  If you surprise the people with raising  taxes too much you may face a backlash in 2022.

The only reliable prediction is that the pendulum will swing.  How and when it swings is anyone’s guess.