Why are Latinos so lukewarm on Catholic Joe? Bernie whooped his ass among them while the 2020 primary was still competitive too.
Clinton hammered Trump hard on immigration in 2016 and so did very well, but this effect wore off as he became an incumbent.
We are seeing a return to the usual 90s/early2000s numbers among Latinos
The Latino population has grown considerably as younger and naturalized voters have entered the electorate, and comprise a larger share of the D coalition than before.(Appreciate the meme stanning of OR Dems by the way, Mr. Non-Oregonian)
Hispanics as the new Irish: A historical analogy to help us understand the present moment.
Given all the hand-wringing about a “Great Replacement”, it’s astonishing how much of a non-event this has been. Texas is still a deep red state. Texas Hispanics still lean toward the Dems, but they shifted strongly toward Trump in 2020, and Republicans in the state still reliably get 40% of the Hispanic vote. Meanwhile, Texas’ culture, which always had very large Mexican influences, has not noticeably changed as a result of the influx.
This reinforces my thesis that the best historical analogy for Hispanic immigration to the U.S. is the great Irish immigration of the 1800s. The usual analogy we draw is to the Italians, but I think the Irish make a better model. First of all, Irish immigration, like immigration from Mexico and Central America — but unlike immigration from Italy — was very drawn-out over a long period of time:
Like Hispanics, Irish migrants were mostly working-class folks who came for mainly economic reasons — pressures from poverty back in Ireland, plus the great dream of making it in America. And like Hispanics, they provoked a sustained and ferocious pushback from nativists.
-snip-
