Why are people so bullish on Nevada?

[Kamala's side hoe]

I was more bullish on NV-SEN for Dems than most of Atlas, because of Nevada's large Asian population and the state's rapid growth in recent years. I've noticed that states and metros that have trended D in recent years generally have larger Asian populations, while the reverse is true for R trending places like Florida. I also feel like there is stronger White-Asian polarization in the West (and possibly Midwest based on exit polls) than elsewhere in the country, and that diversification from transplants and international immigrants is keeping the D floor relatively high.

Screenshots of figures in link. Race and immigration status of the electorate didn't necessarily compensate for pandemic lockdowns or gas prices/bad public transit, but I was always skeptical of Laxalt winning by more than 2-3.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Tony McGovern , analysis by Patrick Adler