Native son (Florida Jew of Moroccan Sephardic heritage) David Shor:
Spoiler alert: Shor tweet
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.
-snip-
TL;DR: What Shor thinks can be explained by broad, transcendental ideological commonalities are only explained *in the data itself* by microdifferences within marginalized communities. This is important because it demonstrates that the GOP's outreach strategy to minorities hinges on them being able to reach these black swan voters that buck trends.
To be honest, I think the 2020 R swings/trends among black, Latino, and Asian voters were mostly caused by increased turnout of lower-propensity voters who aren't (and never could possibly be) as one-sidedly D as higher-frequency voters. In hindsight, some R trend among black voters was inevitable given generational turnover and Obama not being the incumbent. And some R trend among Latinos and Asians was inevitable when you factor in the pre-COVID economy. This doesn't necessarily apply to Jewish voters but the "higher turnout = less one-sided percentage margins" point probably holds?
