Oregon Governor Megathread (user search)
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  Oregon Governor Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Oregon Governor Megathread  (Read 17498 times)
Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« on: October 17, 2022, 01:54:33 AM »

It should be noted that there are significantly more DEM and DEM-LEAN INDIES that are undecided vs PUB and PUB-LEAN INDIES.

Can anecdotally confirm this, have considered leaving the gubernatorial ballot blank despite the barrage of online Kotek ads.
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Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2022, 08:00:52 PM »

I literally just saw an ad where Kotek is trying to tie Drazan to Kate Brown lol

Yeah it has something to do with Brown’s (real or perceived) inaction on the housing crisis.
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Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2022, 02:29:08 PM »

Kotek wins in Oregon.



Idk how I feel about not leaving the governor slot blank. Looking forward to the precinct level results, swings, and trends!
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Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2022, 04:54:03 PM »

Kotek won which is good, but the OR-Dems didn't do too well in the rest of the state.   In the state senate they lost three districts (6, 11, and 16) and only flipped one (20), meaning the majority next year will be 16-14.   State House looks like they lost seats too but some are too early to call.

6 = Lane County boonies. All hail our new dentist-firefighter overlords!
11 = Woodburn to Salem along I-5
16 = northern coast, Betsy Johnson’s home turf

Makes sense that 20 flipped, it’s way more suburban now (contains Oregon City, Gladstone, and most of Happy Valley) and borders Multnomah County around I-205.  

Unsurprisingly all of the Vietnamese D candidates are winning their State House seats
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Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2023, 06:41:28 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2023, 08:30:53 PM by khuzifenq »

For anybody with an Oregonlive subscription you should be able to pull this up for free...

If not and interested, maybe do a trial sub to view the article???

Basically, the actual graphic shows OR-GOV precinct results from everywhere within Metro-PDX.

Here are a few quotes from the text side of the article:

Quote
Kotek’s crowning electoral achievements in the November election came in the Kerns and King neighborhoods on Portland’s inner east side, where she crushed Drazan by 90% to 5%. That’s a bigger margin than even Kotek’s home turf of Kenton, where she secured about 84% of the vote after serving 15 years as a state representative or House speaker.

Quote
Still, there were many neighborhoods where Drazan narrowly edged or even trounced the Democrat, including in her home base of Clackamas County, which she won.

In precinct 101 in Clackamas’s Happy Valley neighborhood, for instance, Drazan’s margin of victory was 48% to 44%. In precinct 424 in the Sherwood Tualatin area of Washington County, Drazan bested Kotek 47% to 43%.

Quote
There were neighborhoods in Multnomah County, too, where Drazan prevailed, primarily some of the precincts west of Gresham.



https://www.oregonlive.com/data/2023/01/tina-kotek-is-oregons-new-governor-see-which-candidate-your-neighbors-wanted-in-office.html

You might only need to sign up for an account to see the visualization, without subscribing. edit: I guess the 7 day trial automatically kicked in

Not surprised some of the East Portland (within PDX proper) precincts narrowly went for Drazan, although I’m not sure if they include the relatively Trumpy ones from 2020.

A lot of residential Hillsboro west of the Hillsboro airport was close to evenly split (which seems to reflect baseline partisanship), and much of residential Gresham east of downtown Gresham favored Drazan (not that surprising but worth pointing out).
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