Suburban gains: Demographic Change or Newly Liberal Whites (user search)
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  Suburban gains: Demographic Change or Newly Liberal Whites (search mode)
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Author Topic: Suburban gains: Demographic Change or Newly Liberal Whites  (Read 2873 times)
Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« on: October 29, 2020, 03:30:40 AM »
« edited: October 29, 2020, 03:26:06 PM by Kamala's side hoe »

Let's start here, as I want to put this unequivocally on the record:

What're the demographic breakdowns of your "favored quarters" using 2018 CVAP vs 2010 Census?  Total population changes?

-snip-


Do you not have citizen VAP data from the 2010 Census? That would be more useful than just the census count or just the total VAP. It’s hard to accurately gauge changes in the eligible voting population if we’re comparing apples to oranges.
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Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
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« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2020, 04:19:45 PM »

this is sort of off topic but I've noticed that in a lot of wealthy republican families - at least one of the kids is a lefty. But does that actually change the electorate in rich republican areas? So for instance if you have a republican husband and wife in north fulton with liberal kids - chances are there kids don't live in North Fulton, they probably live in five points (if they live in metro atl) or out of state.

Very true and that is easy to explain.  If doing well financially, you can focus on social justice causes and any policies to adopt them like dealing with climate change won't impact you financially thus easy to support them.  If working class, more likely to require personal sacrifice thus more likely to oppose it.  Also on higher taxes on rich, I've found those who earned it more against it than those who inherited it.  In latter category some even feel guilty thus favor higher taxes on rich as they have more than many peers who work just as hard or harder.  Whereas if you earned it, you put in long hours and took risks so more likely to be against idea of more of it being taxed.

Also on tax front, many rich actually saw their taxes go up under Trump.  Most uber rich are in blue states and Trump put a 10K cap on SALT so if you are making a million a year and living in California, your top marginal rate pre-Trump was 47.6% but now 50.3%.  Now if you lived in a state with no taxes or low state taxes then yes rich got a tax cut.  In addition top rates effect a very small number of Americans so most wealthy are not going to see their taxes hiked by Joe Biden as only 1-2% of Americans make over 400K a year.

Your first paragraph is very true, but it doesn’t mean the children of 1%-rich or PMC families are generally more left-leaning than children from poor, working-class, or lower-middle class families. It just means that the political/activist/Twittercrat class is mostly drawn from White, ADOS Black, and 2nd+ generation PMC-to-“1% rich” families.

...Alief is not favored quarter.

...because it’s overwhelmingly nonwhite, or because it’s actually economically downscale? The NYT post-election analysis said it’s a mostly Vietnamese, Mexican, and Nigerian nonwhite immigrant area. Alief swung significantly more R than adjacent Sugar Land in Fort Bend County, which swung D.
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