Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (user search)
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Kamala's side hoe
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« on: December 13, 2022, 12:21:52 AM »

A summary of the Senate and gubernatorial results in each Metro ATL precinct with at least 40% Asian VAP:

DeKalb
Dunwoody (42.1% Asian): Warnock +38.3, Abrams +23.6 (Warnock +14.7)

Forsyth
Johns Creek (41.6% Asian): Walker +6.3, Kemp +22.5 (Warnock +16.2)
Windermere (41.1% Asian): Walker +13.5, Kemp +29.6 (Warnock +16.1)

Fulton
Alpharetta 12B (58.4% Asian): Warnock +28.4, Abrams +10.6 (Warnock +17.8 )
Johns Creek 1 (54.3% Asian): Warnock +24.4, Abrams +9.1 (Warnock +15.3)
Johns Creek 2 (46.2% Asian): Warnock +20.1, Abrams +3.9 (Warnock +16.2)
Johns Creek 7 (45.9% Asian): Warnock +20.3, Abrams +4.3 (Warnock +16.0)
Johns Creek 6 (41.9% Asian): Warnock +1.8, Kemp +12.3 (Warnock +14.1)
Sandy Springs 29A (40.9% Asian): Warnock +33.0, Abrams +20.3 (Warnock +12.7)

Gwinnett
Duluth I (54.5% Asian): Walker +0.1, Kemp +18.0 (Warnock +17.9)

All of this is to say that, as exits suggested, Abrams did very, very poorly with Asian voters, more noticeably so than with any other racial group. Of course, her biggest underperformances were in wealthy white precincts around Buckhead, Sandy Springs, and Brookhaven, but this assortment of precincts comes pretty close.

Are you referring to the GA-GOV exit poll showing Asian voters as 54-46 Abrams and Latino voters as 55-43 Abrams? As opposed to 59-39 Warnock and 58-39 Warnock respectively?

Also I'm assuming the parentheses results are for the runoff? Analysis of percentages is kind of meaningless without raw vote counts.

I feel like a lot of these Asian voters tend to be pretty wealthy and educated, so it's not terribly surprising that they have a penchant for splitting tickets like a lot of wealthy and educated white voters.

The Asian Community, not just in Georgia, but across the US is often a bit annoying to analyze because outside like LA and NYC, you don't get consistent pockets of 70 or 80%+ Asian precincts. Asians also tend to be a pretty low turnout group. In Georgia, there are only a few 50%+ Asian precincts, so it's possible some of these shifts could be attributed to the higher turnout white populations in these communities.

Generally though, it seems Asians tend to favor incumbents unless the incumbent does something to particularly piss their community off (see NY-Gov), so it's not surprising if Kemp pretty significantly outran Walker with these voters.

I think another factor is that asians that live in heavily asian precincts are quite different to asians that live in more mixed/white areas.

Yeah education, nativity, age, household income, and occupation/industry matter a lot.
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