NJ-GOV 2021 megathread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 04, 2024, 10:14:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NJ-GOV 2021 megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NJ-GOV 2021 megathread  (Read 53785 times)
有爭議嘅領土 of The Figgis Agency
khuzifenq
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,446
United States


P P
WWW
« on: November 02, 2021, 09:40:12 PM »

Camden county 59-40 for Murphy
Bergen county (my home) 55-45 for Ciatarelli

These two results are just cringes if you're a Democrat. I don't know for sure what % of the outstanding votes are by mail or in person, but I highly doubt it is because it mostly counted in-person votes first.

There is a lot left in Essex and Passaic (Biden won by 56 and 17 points, respectively) but how much Murphy will underperform there is the question. If I assume that he will underperform there by similar margin, then Murphy will probably, even very likely lose.

Bergen county is only 40% in at those numbers. Camden is 79% in per the NYT.
Logged
有爭議嘅領土 of The Figgis Agency
khuzifenq
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,446
United States


P P
WWW
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2021, 11:31:38 PM »

Murphy will probably win, but it will be embarrassing if Youngkin wins by a larger margin than him.

Heres the good news for the Dem establishment tho: They still have 13 months to make excuses, find scapegoats, and avoid responsibility for the inevitable 2022 shellacking. I wonder what/who it will be this time? Ralph Nader? Russia? Muh media?

Just about every single "progressive" candidate and policy up tonight got blown out of the water, even in blue cities like Seattle, Minneapolis, and Buffalo.

Boston mayor-elect and Senator Warren acolyte: am I a joke to you?

Logged
有爭議嘅領土 of The Figgis Agency
khuzifenq
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,446
United States


P P
WWW
« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2021, 09:35:14 PM »

I’m sure this has been asked/discussed before, but why did Murphy do better than Biden in Hudson County?

Don’t have access to precinct level results or any real knowledge of Metro NYC, but I’m guessing it has to do with Latinos and Asians. Either Ciattarelli couldn’t draw out ambivalent Trump voters, or Murphy was more of a Generic D than Biden.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 9 queries.