Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: May 2017? (user search)
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  Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: May 2017? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: May 2017?  (Read 12194 times)
nitory1
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« on: March 06, 2017, 06:53:53 PM »


There are areas in the 2015 UK election in west belfast, in where other (PBP) does well, in many cases so does the DUP or the UUP.

Any reason for this? Is it due to living close to living with protestants, irish are more likely to vote for the non-sectarian leftist parties. The working class irish live more closely with working class protestnats, and the irish vote for People Before Profit.

?


Electoral calculus are notoriously crap at vote breakdowns in the rest of the UK where they actually have an interest in compiling the results. Their NI ones are beyond the pale in awfulness and just looks like they've taken 5 minutes with a 'will this do?' attitude.
Firstly the wards listed are the ones drawn for the 2014 council amalgamations, the current Westminster boundaries are still based on the old wards, so there's areas of Belfast in the wards listed which are actually in N Belfast and vice versa.
Secondly as has been pointed out, anyone who puts the DUP in 3 figures in a ward called Falls hasn't a clue about Northern Ireland at all never mind its politics. I'm guessing the results were calculated by looking at the 2014 council results in the Court electoral area and dividing roughly evenly between the six wards which it comprises of thinking they were homogeneous. In reality four wards are heavily unionist and comprise of the Shankill with 2 heavily Republican wards in the Falls tacked on.

PBP support was protest votes from dissatisfied republicans and young people along with a few hundred true believers. Their transfers went at a pitiful rate to unionists.
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