mianfei
Jr. Member
Posts: 321
|
 |
« on: September 30, 2020, 05:59:24 AM » |
|
- Mississippi 1980: High black turnout there – and voting more D than 1976 – prevented large swings
- Maryland 1980: black vote – even in counties Reagan won – critical and more D than 1976. Reagan won Dorchester County, where Humphrey ran third in 1968 and almost certainly won a single-figure percentage of the white vote, by a smaller margin than Goldwater in 1964
- West Virginia 1972: extreme social and moral conservatism of poor white population meant McGovern was viewed as a left-wing extremist. Swings, although large, were nothing like post-Bill Clinton Democrats
- Colorado 1988: growing influence of resort-town counties and very loyal Hispanic vote was what made the state close (same true of New Mexico). Carter was a poor fit for almost every Democratic group in those states.
- South in 1988: Good economy (except in Louisiana which was affected by low oil prices especially in the southwestern parishes), no farm crisis, and no doubt Willie Horton had some effect
|
