Romney will fail to crack 40% in the light blue, Obama will fail in the light red.
I have a tough time seeing Obama fail to crack 40% in West Virginia. I think he came close to rock bottom already for a Democrat there in 2008. Plus he's now against a flip-flopper Mormon who's a terrible fit for the state compared to John McCain. I guess it's possible though, especially if he loses nationally.
Coal has had a crazy bad 4 years due to the natural gas boom. Obama may even do worse than McGovern in WV. I fully expect him to lose every county there.