GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[Coldstream]

In the 538 model, if Warnock and Fetterman both win, Dems are 95% favorites to hold the Senate, and 65% likely to win at least 52 seats. Dems even become narrow favorites to hold the House.

More evidence that 538's model is trash. Democrats are probably favorites to keep the senate if they win Georgia and Pennsylvania, but Republicans have nominated some textbook-level terrible celebrity  candidates in those states that make them more insulated from a republican wave election. It's not inconceivable that Democrats win both but then lose Nevada and Arizona, leaving them one seat short of a majority.

hahahahahaha

Masters isn't a celebrity candidate so far as terrible political sensibilities and a ton of baggage go. You could make the argument that's he's the most likely to lose (if you assume Kelly is a strong incumbent, and that's a big if) but he's undeniably the best candidate of the 3.

I agree and that’s how low the GOP has sunk that Blake Masters is a relatively good candidate.

[Coldstream]

Even if Walker ends up winning, what I'll never fully understand is this: Georgia Republicans were not short on options. They've still got a wide bench. And they went with Herschel Walker. Why?

Because Trump knew him from celebrity apprentice.