It's 2036 - which state is more Democratic?

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

MD, TX, CO, MI, RI, GA

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

MD, FL, CO, MI, RI, GA.

This, but the PA-MI one could go either way, depending on what direction the GOP goes in.

Yeah, I'm starting to think PA might be the safer bet because of its foothold on the East Coast and the fact that Philadelphia and Pittsburgh aren't shrinking the way Detroit is.

Agreed.

-You could make an argument either way here, but Detroit is going to stop shrinking soon enough, if it hasn't already.

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

^Hmm, this is plausible, but I don't see NJ happening for the GOP. If anything, the state is trending more Democrat. I also think Montana should be safe GOP in this case. Alaska will be fascinating, I have no idea how the state will trend in the future. I could also see the GOP rebounding in New Mexico, but that's probably a stretch. Nevada could go the way of New Mexico, but I wouldn't be surprised if it became a mini Florida.

The only reason Montana isn't safe GOP is the Mormon 3rd party running statewide candidates and occasionally endorsing Democrats there.

-There are not many Mormons in MT.

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

^Hmm, this is plausible, but I don't see NJ happening for the GOP. If anything, the state is trending more Democrat. I also think Montana should be safe GOP in this case. Alaska will be fascinating, I have no idea how the state will trend in the future. I could also see the GOP rebounding in New Mexico, but that's probably a stretch. Nevada could go the way of New Mexico, but I wouldn't be surprised if it became a mini Florida.

The only reason Montana isn't safe GOP is the Mormon 3rd party running statewide candidates and occasionally endorsing Democrats there.

-There are not many Mormons in MT.

They are about 5%, very likely enough to flip the state in a 2008 environment if they voted for a local McMullin.

-Indiana flipped in 2008!