Weirdest Presidental Election Result by state since 1960 (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Weirdest Presidental Election Result by state since 1960 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Weirdest Presidental Election Result by state since 1960  (Read 3818 times)
DabbingSanta
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« on: September 03, 2020, 08:18:56 AM »

Not really sure if any of the early ones were "surprises" at the time, but definitely notable oddities

1960: Nevada, only state in the continental west to vote for JFK

1964: Arizona, Goldwater's home state and only win outside Dixie

1968: Competitiveness of Texas when Nixon/Wallace win rest of South

1972: Massachusetts, only state to vote for McGovern

1976: Virginia, southern Democrat Carter loses to northerner Ford, but still wins election

1980: Rhode Island, random Carter stronghold, won with 10% margin

1984: "Minnesota would have been nice"

1988: Strong performance in farm states by Dukakis, especially Iowa, won with 10% margin

1992: Vermont, realigning election and second time Democrat ever won the state

1996: Florida's huge swing to the left from 1992, only state Clinton picked up other than Arizona.

2000: Florida for obvious reasons

2004: New Mexico surprise

2008: Indiana surprise

2012: I really can't think of any

2016: Michigan
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DabbingSanta
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Posts: 1,679
United States
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« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2020, 09:34:36 AM »

What’ll be the weirdest 2020 result?

- I think Kansas and Alaska could surprise us (Trump +12 maybe).
- If New Hampshire votes closely to Colorado and Virginia.
- How narrow Biden’s wins in Nevada and New Mexico are.
- If Biden wins Florida or Arizona by 3+ pts.

Weirdest possible results?

1) Trump winning Minnesota (1972).

2) Trump losing either Georgia (1992) or Texas (1976), or both.
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