UncleSam
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,524
|
 |
« on: September 14, 2022, 09:57:33 AM » |
|
This is basically the only indicator in the GOPs’ favor.
I don’t think it is particularly predictive, however. It implies the GOP base is more energized, as would be expected. HOWEVER the GOP nominated a laundry list of awful candidates in basically every senate race, and when you combine that with massive Dem fundraising advantages, incumbency advantages in many states, and Dobbs it seems very likely Rs will lose the I vote in many competitive senate races.
I do think that the results are indicative of the pecking order of races, however. For example, GA and OH were VERY R in the primaries, more so than NC / FL (which in turn were more R than PA / WI). Implies that the tiers of races probably roughly follow that pattern in the general, even though conventional wisdom says GA should be much more Dem than FL or NC (and may still be of course).
|
