Which map is more plausible?

[UncleSam]

I mean Trump's approval ratings are like the same as when he won 306 EVs against a terrible candidate, people are massively overestimating the impact of approval ratings honestly - Trump has already proven he can turn out his base and when over just enough of the 60% who dislike him to win.

Map A by a mile. No way in hell Trump loses Georgia, much less Ohio or Arizona. Map A requires only a ~3 point net shift + a candidate who is weaker in VA for the Dems, which is much more plausible as of now.

If a recession hits then Map B minus GA flipping is more likely, I just can't see the hyper polarized racial politics of GA flipping the state until the minority population straight outgrows the white population there.