What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election) (user search)
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  What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which states are likely to elect the opposite party of their incumbent senator in 2018?
#1
Arizona
 
#2
California
 
#3
Connecticut
 
#4
Delaware
 
#5
Florida
 
#6
Hawaii
 
#7
Indiana
 
#8
Maine
 
#9
Maryland
 
#10
Massachusetts
 
#11
Michigan
 
#12
Minnesota
 
#13
Mississippi
 
#14
Missouri
 
#15
Montana
 
#16
Nebraska
 
#17
Nevada
 
#18
New Jersey
 
#19
New Mexico
 
#20
New York
 
#21
North Dakota
 
#22
Ohio
 
#23
Pennsylvania
 
#24
Rhode Island
 
#25
Tennessee
 
#26
Texas
 
#27
Utah
 
#28
Vermont
 
#29
Virginia
 
#30
Washington
 
#31
West Virginia
 
#32
Wisconsin
 
#33
Wyoming
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 47

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election)  (Read 4475 times)
UncleSam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,525


« on: June 03, 2017, 10:26:57 PM »

I chose Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, and West Virginia. I honestly don't understand why more people didn't pick Michigan, they were a red state in 2016, with a Republican governor, Republicans have control of the state House and Senate, and a majority of the state's representatives in the US House are Republicans. The state, in my opinion, is slowly getting more and more Republican.

Because that's not how politics works. Stabenow is entrenched, there's a weak field, Trump and Snyder are deeply unpopular there, etc

I do realize how much people don't like Snyder all across the state, but I think people are stating to not like Stabenow either. Like I said, Republicans got control of the state House and Senate.

I'm confused on how that has much relevance to the Us Senate race
Michigan is changing almost as quickly as Georgia in the opposite direction, and if you seriously think that Snyder is widely disliked or would lose reelection if he were eligible for it you're nuts. Trust the two people from Michigan here when we say that people do not like Stabenow at all and that Snyder is a lot more popular. I know it's hard to see because the only polls of Michigan are rubbish from the. Detroit Free Press but Michigan is very white and the conservative areas are growing rapidly whe the liberal areas are stagnating or declining.

Democrats, take Michigan for granted AGAIN at your own risk. Stabenow is way worse off than. Casey or Warner and arguably worse off than Baldwin or even Brown. The state is changing and it's amazing that everyone is blind to it even after Trump won this state last November. You think it was a fluke Hillary got 300k fewer votes out of Wayne / Genessee than Obama did, or that Trump got 150k extra votes out of Kent and Macomb? It wasn't, it was because there's 200k fewer people in Wayne and 50k fewer people in Southern Macomb (aka North Detroit) than there were four years ago. By 2018 there will be another 100k gone from these places and Kent will have grown even more (along with the Grosse Ille Macomb area that is heavily conservative and booming).

These things don't happen in a bottle, especially in an era of hyper polarization. Trumps message may have accelerated things by appealing particularly to Michiganders but he would not have had a shadow of a chance with the 2012 electorate regardless.
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