Internal pollster in Michigan: none of my polls have found Biden leading (user search)
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  Internal pollster in Michigan: none of my polls have found Biden leading (search mode)
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Author Topic: Internal pollster in Michigan: none of my polls have found Biden leading  (Read 863 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: May 02, 2024, 04:07:11 PM »
I think the general consensus recently has been that Wisconsin is now Biden's weakest state in the rust belt. RCP now has Trump leading WI by more than in MI.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2024, 02:03:15 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on May 03, 2024, 01:43:36 PM
Michigan was a State where Pollsters massivly overestimated Biden & underestimated Trumps Support in 2020. 538 had Biden up an Average of 6 Points or more heading into E-Day.

Biden ended up winning it by 2.8 Percentage Points.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/michigan/president

If Biden is TIED with Trump in MI heading into E-Day he is going to lose I think. Biden needs a 5-6 Point lead there to pull this off.

How much does Biden need to lead to win WI or PA?
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