How do Heitkamp, Donnelly, McCaskill, and Nelson do in 2024?

[Tekken_Guy]

How would the Democrats who lost re-election in 2018 be doing in 2024. Would they all be DOA like Manchin, or would any of them have a chance at re-election like Tester or Brown?

[Tekken_Guy]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

How would the open FL seat be looking. Are Democrats' chances better or worse than with Scott running for re-election?

[Tekken_Guy]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

How would the open FL seat be looking. Are Democrats' chances better or worse than with Scott running for re-election?

Val Demings would still be the Democratic nominee. Her chances probably depend on which Republican is nominated to face her. Someone like Gaetz, for example, she wins (and possibly by double digits), while if Republicans nominate DeSantis, Curbelo, or someone like Vern Buchanan, she loses.

Demings was the nominee against Rubio, not the expected opponent of Rick Scott. And DeSantis has a lot more on his mind than a senate seat.

[Tekken_Guy]

All DOA. Their states have swung violently to the right even since they lost in our timeline.

Only Florida has swung heavily rightward. The others are just already very Republican.