If no states used commissions, what maps would we see?

[Tekken_Guy]

What maps would we see if no states used commissions to draw their maps?

[Tekken_Guy]

California, Colorado, and New Jersey would be dem manders each with two republicans

NJ isn't too far off from what a Dem gerrymander would be. It was a purposeful decision to weaken Malinowski to shore up Sherill and Gottheimer. And Malinowski's seat is still Biden +4.

There used to be dreams of drawing out Van Drew, but I doubt a Democrat will be elected there for a long time.

What would an actual Gerrymander look like?

[Tekken_Guy]

NJ probably wouldn’t have to get rid of Tom Malinowski. They’d just unpack NJ-12 instead.

AZ is probably more aggressive. Greg Stanton might get a vote sink while Schweikert is shored up.

CA probably takes out every Republican except for LaMalfa, McCarthy, and a few others. Garcia’s seat dips deeper south into very blue parts.