2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Washington (user search)

Tekken_Guy
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Re: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Washington

« on: December 03, 2021, 04:38:16 PM »

I wonder if WA-06 or WA-10 have upset potential for the GOP.

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Tekken_Guy
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Posts: 13,328

Re: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Washington

« Reply #1 on: December 03, 2021, 05:09:57 PM »

Quote from: Mr.Phips on December 03, 2021, 04:43:45 PM

Quote from: Tekken_Guy on December 03, 2021, 04:38:16 PM

I wonder if WA-06 or WA-10 have upset potential for the GOP.

Biden + 17 and 18. Even in 2018, Dems didn’t pick up any districts that Trump carried by a margin that large.

Weill they got up to Trump+15 in NY-22. They fell just short.

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Tekken_Guy
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Posts: 13,328

Re: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Washington

« Reply #2 on: December 03, 2021, 05:26:01 PM »

Quote from: Mr.Phips on December 03, 2021, 05:21:55 PM

Quote from: Tekken_Guy on December 03, 2021, 05:09:57 PM

Quote from: Mr.Phips on December 03, 2021, 04:43:45 PM

Quote from: Tekken_Guy on December 03, 2021, 04:38:16 PM

I wonder if WA-06 or WA-10 have upset potential for the GOP.

Biden + 17 and 18. Even in 2018, Dems didn’t pick up any districts that Trump carried by a margin that large.

Weill they got up to Trump+15 in NY-22. They fell just short.

Neither of these districts are as elastic as NY-22 and the incumbents are no where near as polarizing as Claudia Tenney. A Tom Reed type would have had no trouble in NY-22.

What about OK-05 or NY-11?

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