2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/tekken_guy/status/1667326977882177541

It’s possible to make a Black-majority LA-05 as close as Biden+4. Cassidy won this seat and someone like Letlow can pull a Gerald Greene and hold it as long as she wants.

[Tekken_Guy]

I think it’s more likely Letlow runs against Mike Johnson in LA-04, assuming a lot of the northwestern parts of her current district are there. I think she has a solid chance at beating him, and Shreveport blacks could break for her over Johnson.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1715082394691059961
Wait, so basically district court schedules hearing -> circuit court cancels hearing -> supreme court declines to cancel cancellation -> presumably district court schedules another hearing? What's to prevent this from repeating ad infinitum until Purcell becomes relevant?

Does this make a redraw more or less likely?

[Tekken_Guy]

My guess is they either draw a "compact" Baton-Rouge based seat that voted for Trump due to the hyper-R white suburbs, or a 45% black seat that selectively on takes in hyper-R rurals so it's functionally an R seat.

Or a 50.01% seat that voted for Biden by single digits.