Nope, because the trends are clear on every level in Indianapolis. They just have to look at Ohio who tried this in 2000 and got burned, and that was before Colombia became a Sapphire. Like I said above, Pence gave Trump his VP bounce here, which masks a slightly more Dem baseline in regards to PVI, which 538 used exclusively.
Not really. Indiana’s partisanship is pretty much always identical to Missouri’s, and 2016 was no exception. Honestly, once the 2016 results come in to DRA we can see the effectiveness of the dummymander more efficiently.