AK-AL Special election: Peltola wins! (user search)
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  AK-AL Special election: Peltola wins! (search mode)
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Author Topic: AK-AL Special election: Peltola wins!  (Read 21725 times)
brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« on: August 25, 2022, 06:00:37 PM »

Idk the source of these numbers but if they're true, then Peltola may honestly be a slight favorite:
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2022, 02:29:12 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on August 27, 2022, 01:46:50 PM
If Peltola wins how would it impact the race in November?  Would she be favored to win again, or would the race be easier to win for the GOP if Begich potentially drops out?

Begich dropping out may, in all honesty, make it easier for an incumbent Peltola to win 1-on-1 against Palin on the same day that Dems/Indies/moderate Repubs/Natives unite to save Lisa Murkowski's career. The smartest move for the AKGOP would be Palin withdrawing & endorsing Begich for the simple reason that he'd clearly clobber Peltola in a 1-on-1. Ofc, this strategy would inherently be entirely dependent on Palin's cooperation, which can't be assumed because she hates Begich. If everybody stays in, then I'm curious to see how much an inc. Peltola gains & how much Palin support switches to Begich.
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2022, 07:11:12 PM »
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2022, 07:14:52 PM »
All is right:
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2022, 07:25:42 PM »


> "Democratic incumbent running"
> Alaska

It's beautiful 🥹
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2022, 07:38:38 PM »
I literally don't remember the last time that the election predictions were this wrong:
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2022, 07:40:48 PM »

My god, she may just do it. She may just keep the seat in Peltola's hands.
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2022, 08:07:55 PM »
« Edited: August 31, 2022, 08:25:50 PM by brucejoel99 »
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2022, 08:29:33 PM »

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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2022, 08:47:28 PM »
Quote from: GALeftist on August 31, 2022, 08:36:56 PM
Do we think Murkowski was Begich>Peltola>Palin? That's my guess at least. Possible she rated Palin second out of partisan loyalty

Peltola literally helped run her 2010 write-in campaign, so read into that what may be read.
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brucejoel99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,010
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #10 on: September 03, 2022, 09:09:39 AM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on August 31, 2022, 08:47:28 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on August 31, 2022, 08:36:56 PM
Do we think Murkowski was Begich>Peltola>Palin? That's my guess at least. Possible she rated Palin second out of partisan loyalty

Peltola literally helped run her 2010 write-in campaign, so read into that what may be read.
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