What if Biden chose not to run in 2020?

[brucejoel99]

We'd be talking about President-Elect Elizabeth Warren right now.

We certainly would've been talking about Democratic nominee Elizabeth Warren, but I'm not at all confident that we'd be talking about President-elect Warren right about now.

[brucejoel99]

We'd be talking about President-Elect Elizabeth Warren right now.

We certainly would've been talking about Democratic nominee Elizabeth Warren, but I'm not at all confident that we'd be talking about President-elect Warren right about now.

And even before Super Tuesday, Sanders was leading Warren in her home state of Massachusetts. So if she still lost the Massachusetts primary to Sanders instead of Biden, Warren would still have dropped out after Super Tuesday.

A lot of people forget this but Warren actually had a winning coalition for a week or so during the primaries back in late 2019. Her half-moderate/half-progressive base made clear that she was capable of building a coalition by constructively articulating her message & being nimble enough to pull in key support from other candidates/internal party constituencies. Had Biden not run, then there's no reason why she couldn't have managed to hold onto that & run away with the primary on the back of her coalition of progressives & more liberal moderates.