Booker likely will be hard to beat in the Primary (esp in a crowded field) (user search)
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  Booker likely will be hard to beat in the Primary (esp in a crowded field) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Booker likely will be hard to beat in the Primary (esp in a crowded field)  (Read 1094 times)
SCNCmod
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« on: January 06, 2017, 05:59:38 PM »

When you think which states the potential 2020 Dems would win in the Primary... Booker likely will be hard to beat in the Primary (esp in a crowded field).  He would likely carry all of the Southern States + NJ & NY (and probably a heavy favorite in California).

If he did win- He would likely need a VP from a land-locked State... and maybe one with Military Experience (or someone on Intel & Arms Services Committee).
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2017, 06:09:10 PM »
« Edited: January 06, 2017, 06:14:23 PM by SCNCmod »

That's actually a good point. South Carolina and potentially Nevada could be pretty favorable for him. Maybe New Hampshire? I don't know if him being from the Northeast has much bearing there.

If I was Trump or the RNC, I'd fear Booker and Bullock the most.

56% of Dem Primary voters in SC were Black (and similar in most Southern States)... which would most likely provide a really big advantage for Booker.

(Not that his appeal is limited to minorities.  Stanford, Yale Law, Rhodes Scholar, Good Name recognition, & good speaking skills ... will get a serious look from most Dem voters)
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2017, 06:13:42 PM »

As a NYer who has followed Booker the die hard progs here are really too hard on him he is very charismatic and likeable

Hopefully regardless who gets the nominee... ALL supporters of ANY candidate in the Dem Primary.. will have enough sense to put differences aside in an effort to defeat Trump.
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2017, 06:18:42 PM »

But at the same time, he will likely crash and burn in Iowa and New Hampshire. Plus, I wouldn't be surprised if Biden pulls a large portion of the black vote if he gets in.

I could see Booker doing well in either Iowa or NH (esp NH, which I think has one of the highest percentages of College Student voting in the Dem Primary... a group Booker tends to be popular with).  But even if he were to lose IA & NH... he would still easily win SC.

Biden would be pushing 80 if he were elected.  I don't see him running... Which is probably a good thing for 2020 vs Trump.
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2017, 06:28:49 PM »
« Edited: January 06, 2017, 06:31:32 PM by SCNCmod »

As a NYer who has followed Booker the die hard progs here are really too hard on him he is very charismatic and likeable

Hopefully regardless who gets the nominee... ALL supporters of ANY candidate in the Dem Primary.. will have enough sense to put differences aside in an effort to defeat Trump.

If that's your takeaway from this election, then Democrats certainly haven't learned their lesson.

I think 2020 will be a bit different. 1) because the candidate will likely not be as polarizing as Hillary & 2) Many voters thought Hillary would def win, & so therefor didn't mind showing somewhat of a protest vote for a 3rd party candidate.. or maybe even Trump.  

...Where as this time- Dem Primary voters will be more likely to think- If I don't vote for the Dem nominee... Trump will be re-elected. (Not to mention... a Generate of a very Conservative Supreme Court to follow)
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #5 on: January 06, 2017, 06:49:40 PM »

When you think which states the potential 2020 Dems would win in the Primary... Booker likely will be hard to beat in the Primary (esp in a crowded field).  He would likely carry all of the Southern States + NJ & NY (and probably a heavy favorite in California).

If he did win- He would likely need a VP from a land-locked State... and maybe one with Military Experience (or someone on Intel & Arms Services Committee).

This depends heavily on which other candidates run. For example, if Booker is up against Kamala Harris and one or more of Andrew Cuomo or Kirsten Gillibrand in the primary (all people considered somewhere between likely and very likely to run), the advantages you note disappear for pretty obvious reasons.

I definitely agree- If Kamala Harris enters.  But I don't think she will, Having just been elected. (although she would be a VP consideration for many).  If Cuomo or Gillibrand enter- Booker still carries the entire South + NJ ..off the bat
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2017, 08:00:42 PM »

When you think which states the potential 2020 Dems would win in the Primary... Booker likely will be hard to beat in the Primary (esp in a crowded field).  He would likely carry all of the Southern States + NJ & NY (and probably a heavy favorite in California).

If he did win- He would likely need a VP from a land-locked State... and maybe one with Military Experience (or someone on Intel & Arms Services Committee).

This depends heavily on which other candidates run. For example, if Booker is up against Kamala Harris and one or more of Andrew Cuomo or Kirsten Gillibrand in the primary (all people considered somewhere between likely and very likely to run), the advantages you note disappear for pretty obvious reasons.

Andrew Cuomo's 2020 candidacy will go absolutely nowhere.

I very much agree.  I actually any NY candidate will go nowhere this year....after this election being so NY Heavy (which will lead to Gillibrand not running this cycle)
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