Cube root congressional districts (user search)
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  Cube root congressional districts (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cube root congressional districts  (Read 12047 times)
DPKdebator
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,087
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 3.65

P P P

« on: June 04, 2017, 04:48:46 PM »

Let's try to make a collaborative Congress using cube root congressional districts. Each state as many CDs as shown on this map:

(credit to Bacon King for making this)




I'll start with Massachusetts:

My goal was to make CDs that are similar geopolitically.

MA-01 (dark blue) - 68% white, 20% Hispanic, 8% black; 73% Obama - 25% McCain. Comprised of two Democratic strongholds, the Berkshires and Springfield. Definitely Safe D.

MA-02 (dark green) - 83% white, 7% Hispanic, 4% Asian; 61% Obama - 37% McCain. Mostly comprised of Democratic towns in Franklin County, Amherst, a few Republican towns in northwestern Worcester County, Fitchburg, and the Marlboroughs. Probably Safe D, but not as strong as many other districts.

MA-03 (purple) - 91% W, 5% H; 52% Obama - 46% McCain. Made up of Springfield suburbs and interior Worcester County, two of the state's most Republican regions. Probably the most pro-Trump CD of the bunch, since unlike its eastern cousin it swung greatly Republican in 2016. This district can probably be considered Safe R.

MA-04 (red) - 73% W, 12% H, 7% A, 5% B; 63% Obama - 37% McCain. This CD contains Worcester and Framingham plus their vicinities. Not the most Democratic Boston satellite area, but it has to major population centers so it's definitely Safe D.

MA-05 (yellow) - 89% W, 3% each B, H, and A; 54% Obama - 44% McCain. This CD is made up of southern Boston suburbs from Dedham to Attleboro, plus Taunton. Most of the time, a Democrat would have an easy time winning here, but a Republican could definitely make it competitive in a wave year (in 2012, Romney either won or got >40% everywhere besides Taunton and Sharon), so this district is Likely D.

MA-06 (teal) - 85% W, 6% H; 63% Obama - 35% McCain. Comprised of the Portuguese areas of southern Bristol, the southern end of Plymouth County, the western Cape, and the islands. Ancestrally Democratic, but Trump would've done a lot better here than Mitt Romney since the huge swings among densely populated Bristol areas, despite this it's still Safe D.

MA-07 (gray) - 93% W, 2% H; 53% Obama - 46% McCain. Made up of the ancestrally Republican South Shore (minus more Democratic Hull and Braintree) and all but the western end of the Cape. Very much so a Romney Republican region (Trump would flop here) since the latte liberal tip of the Cape is greatly outnumbered by Plymouth towns, so this one is Likely R.

MA-08 (periwinkle) - 68% W, 14% B, 8% A; 59% Obama - 40% McCain. Comprised of the Brockton and Quincy areas plus half of Hyde Park. This CD has a large black population and two cities, easily making it Safe D.

MA-09 (sky blue) - 73% W, 10% A, 7% each B and H (fun fact: there is a difference of 14 people between the black and Hispanic population in this CD); 71% Obama - 28% McCain. Comprised of the western rim of Boston and extends to Millis. Contains much of Southern Boston plus Newton and Braintree have large Jewish populations, so it's an obvious Safe D.

MA-10 (magenta) - 68% W, 12% A, 9% H, 8% B; 78% Obama - 20% McCain. Comprised of Brighton-Allston, part of downtown Boston, Cambridge, Somerville, and a few other northern satellite cities. Packed with with so many college kids and latte liberals it's not funny, and this is the most Democratic CD in the state- Safe D.

MA-11 (lime green) - 42% W, 24% H, 22% B; 78% Obama - 21% McCain. Comprised of inner Boston, and the rest of Suffolk County. Only majority-minority CD, and this status makes it Safe D.

MA-12 (cornflower blue) - 83% W, 8% A; 57% Obama - 41% McCain. Made up of a bunch of outer-ring northern suburbs, which are much more Democratic than the southern ones. Not slam-dunk Democratic, but Republicans would have a hard time winning here, so outside of a wave it's Safe D.

MA-13 (tan) - 67% W, 21% H; 58% Obama - 41% McCain. Made up of NH border towns plus Lawrence and Lowell. Despite having two big cities, it could be somewhat competitive, so it's Likely D.

MA-14 (gold) - 82% W, 10% H; 60% Obama - 38% McCain. Comprised of the North Shore, plus some urban satellites of Boston. Oddly, it's got less major cities than MA-13, yet it's more Democratic, and it's probably Safe D.

So, there are 12 Democratic-leaning districts and 2 Republican-leaning districts.
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DPKdebator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,087
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 3.65

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2017, 07:41:27 PM »

Here's Maine:

(sorry the image is zoomed, if I tried to show the whole thing the borders looked funny)

ME-01 (blue): 63-35.3 Obama-McCain. This CD includes coastal York, Cumberland, and Saghadoc Counties, an area which includes Portland. Basically North Massachusetts, so Safe D.

ME-02 (green): 53.2-44.7 Obama-McCain. This CD includes Maine's interior lands, and the largest city is Bangor. Pretty analogous to the current ME-02, and is definitely Trump's strongest CD (certainly doing better since his strongest counties are part of it). Probably Safe R (except in a wave year).

ME-03 (purple): 56.4-41.6 Obama-McCain. This CD spreads from Lewiston and Auburn to the eastern Canadian border, and includes the capital of Augusta. This would be an ancestrally Democratic CD (Washington County, which is ancestrally Republican, has a very small population) that Trump would do very well in, and could probably vote Republican in a congressional election. Tossup.

Also, updated the reference map:
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DPKdebator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,087
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 3.65

P P P

« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2017, 08:33:21 PM »

Would there be anyway this could be turned into one big map?
We'd have to decide which maps to use first, since there are several states with multiple versions of cube root districts.
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