2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana

[Greedo punched first]

Edwards could run in LA-06 on my 5-1 nonpartisan map. He got almost 60% of the vote in my LA-06 in 2019.

[Greedo punched first]

Edwards came from Amite, which is in my LA-06.

[Greedo punched first]

Edwards came from Amite, which is in my LA-06.

i keep on saying: the only D who can win in LA other than the VRA house district is Edwards, and he shouldn't waste his time on a House seat when he can challenge for Cassidy's seat in 2026

Do you mean with a GOP gerrymander or a nonpartisan map like mine?

[Greedo punched first]

Updated for better compactness.



Presidential results in 2020.



2019 gubernatorial runoff results.

[Greedo punched first]

I made a legal under current SCOTUS 6-0 GOP map.

[Greedo punched first]

I made a more compact map than SB2 with less parish splitting that has two performing districts with CVAP majority.

[Greedo punched first]

RIP Troy Carter?

https://twitter.com/mjs_DC/status/1536727430681227264?cxt=HHwWgMDT5ZndxtMqAAAA

[Greedo punched first]

Did Stern see another leaked opinion or something? Or is he clairvoyant? God the spam that is out there. I don't think the VRA will be gutted myself, but it may be narrowed, e.g., a district does drawn that violates neutral redistricting principles will not be considered compact to trigger Gingles, and a district that does violate neutral redistricting principles does if it packs minorities. We shall see.

He is clairvoyant.

[Greedo punched first]

[Greedo punched first]

SCOTUS will legalize this map.

[Greedo punched first]

Is there any chance it won't become legal to crack New Orleans?

[Greedo punched first]

Is there any chance it won't become legal to crack New Orleans?

It's already legal to crack New Orleans.

However I'm assuming you mean New Orlean's black population. It'd likely take the most extreme outcome by the court of gutting the VRA alltogether which is unlikely thouhg certainly not impossible given the balance of the court.

Unlikely, really?

[Greedo punched first]

Worth mentioning that multi-member districts are fine, just not majoritarian ones.

Precisely which ones would be legal, you think?

SNTV, STV, MMP, Party-list would certainly be legal for non-congressional elections (Constitution requires majoritarian elections for Senate, and an entirely unrelated law requires single member districts for House)

Yes, but would SCOTUS uphold that?

[Greedo punched first]

I was right about a 6-0 map being allowed.

[Greedo punched first]

Will it become legal to draw out Troy Carter?

[Greedo punched first]

Imagine holding out hope that the worst Supreme Court of the last century wouldn't issue a stay. Couldn't have been me.

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

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I had no hope for this either.

The Supreme Court's motto might as well be:

"A gun in every holster! A child in every orphanage! A white person Republican in every district!"

[Greedo punched first]

I drew two black majority CVAP districts without a snake to Shreveport.

[Greedo punched first]

I drew two black majority CVAP districts without a snake to Shreveport.

No winnable district for Letlow? Unlikely....

This map is supposed to be nonpartisan.