CA-SEN: Feinstein has two GOP endorsements

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What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

Merced has a very large Hispanic population. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

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What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

Merced is majority Hispanic. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

Given what you told me about them, they might be the one or two other counties that he carries. So, I would say his chances are maybe 50-50. Most of the Republican counties in Central and northeastern California will vote for Feinstein, just like they did for Harris.

Might de Leon win Mendocino? Mendocino is similar to Humboldt; heavily white and rural, but very liberal.

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I'm not sure that Merced's high Hispanic population will lead to a De Leon victory there.

Is Feinstein in good shape to win Orange County? Is de Leon in good shape to win Humboldt County?

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Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger.

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Does de Leon do better in Los Angeles County (his home county) or Orange County?

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Does de Leon do better in LA County or Humboldt County? De Leon is from LA, but Humboldt's Democrats are far more liberal.

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I don't think the cross party endorsements really mean much regarding ideology especially when they come from people who hold officially non-partisan offices. Kathryn Barger is fairly moderate and the only Republican on the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors which is a position where being on good terms with higher level elected officials is beneficial to bringing money for projects to your district. For the most part Feinstein isn't going to get many Republican endorsements because she is still far too liberal for them even if she's not liberal enough for many progressives.

Doug Ose held a partisan office. Darrell Issa endorsed Loretta Sanchez in 2016.

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https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/Sen-Feinstein-had-a-Chinese-connection-she-13121441.php

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It says Feinstein didn't know about it. It isn't Feinstein's fault. Tony Mendoza was living with de Leon while he was accused of sexual harassment. Does that mean it's de Leon's fault for not knowing about Mendoza?

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https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/Sen-Feinstein-had-a-Chinese-connection-she-13121441.php

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It says Feinstein didn't know about it. It isn't Feinstein's fault. Tony Mendoza was living with de Leon while he was accused of sexual harassment. Does that mean it's de Leon's fault for not knowing about Mendoza?

1.Whataboutism

2. This is rather serious, and is a complete disregard of screening by Feinstein. She should drop out for this. Its not like she is forfeiting something competitive.

Are you a Bernie Bro who would rather protest vote for Republican James Bradley (if he made runoff) than for Feinstein? Do you think Kamala Harris is too conservative?

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https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/Sen-Feinstein-had-a-Chinese-connection-she-13121441.php

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It says Feinstein didn't know about it. It isn't Feinstein's fault. Tony Mendoza was living with de Leon while he was accused of sexual harassment. Does that mean it's de Leon's fault for not knowing about Mendoza?

1.Whataboutism

2. This is rather serious, and is a complete disregard of screening by Feinstein. She should drop out for this. Its not like she is forfeiting something competitive.

Are you a Bernie Bro who would rather protest vote for Republican James Bradley (if he made runoff) than for Feinstein? Do you think Kamala Harris is too conservative?

No, Im just saying that this is unacceptable, and that this is terrible for her. I wanted Al Franken and Etsy to drop out, and this is really bad, so I encourage a drop off. If the R made it in, so be it, but thats not what happened, and there is no reason the Democrats cant do better screening.

Franken harassed women. Esty knew about the situation. Would you support Bradley over Feinstein (if de Leon lost primary)?

[Greedo punched first]

https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/Sen-Feinstein-had-a-Chinese-connection-she-13121441.php

You must be logged in to read this quote.

It says Feinstein didn't know about it. It isn't Feinstein's fault. Tony Mendoza was living with de Leon while he was accused of sexual harassment. Does that mean it's de Leon's fault for not knowing about Mendoza?

1.Whataboutism

2. This is rather serious, and is a complete disregard of screening by Feinstein. She should drop out for this. Its not like she is forfeiting something competitive.

Are you a Bernie Bro who would rather protest vote for Republican James Bradley (if he made runoff) than for Feinstein? Do you think Kamala Harris is too conservative?

No, Im just saying that this is unacceptable, and that this is terrible for her. I wanted Al Franken and Etsy to drop out, and this is really bad, so I encourage a drop off. If the R made it in, so be it, but thats not what happened, and there is no reason the Democrats cant do better screening.

Franken harassed women. Esty knew about the situation. Would you support Bradley over Feinstein (if de Leon lost primary)?

I mean, I dunno, it would be a harder decision. This isnt about "what ifs", the current situation is that De Leon is in the race, and Feinstein has had staffers provide information to foreign powers, that is some pretty bad stuff. In the present scenario, I would support her dropping out.

There is no "collusion" with a Chinese spy. The article says none of her staff knew. You would have been against Feinstein even if it weren't for this. Many Atlas Democrats would rather vote for a Republican than for Feinstein.

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It pains me to see Atlas Democrats have less respect for Feinstein than the numerous carpetbagger Republicans running in safe D California House districts.

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The staff members under investigation were fired and deserved to be. Feinstein was not a knowing abettor like Jim Jordan. If she actually knew about the spying activity, I wouldn't support her anymore. I don't support her unconditionally.

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I can't even give a damn about this. She didn't even know about the spying, and it was half a freaking decade ago. Also, the article said nothing classified ever came from the driver.

This is coming from a De Leon supporter too.

If Feinstein knew about this (which she didn't), I would vote for de Leon.