If Montana gets another House seat, shoud there be one or two districts? (user search)
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  If Montana gets another House seat, shoud there be one or two districts? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Two districts or second at-large seat if population grows enough?
#1
2nd district (R)
 
#2
another at-large seat (R)
 
#3
2nd district (D)
 
#4
another at-large seat (D)
 
#5
2nd district (L)
 
#6
another at-large seat (L)
 
#7
2nd district (C)
 
#8
another at-large seat (C)
 
#9
2nd district (G)
 
#10
another at-large seat (G)
 
#11
2nd district (S)
 
#12
another at-large seat (S)
 
#13
2nd district (I/O)
 
#14
another at-large seat (I/O)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: If Montana gets another House seat, shoud there be one or two districts?  (Read 2064 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: December 21, 2016, 04:48:36 PM »

2nd district or another at-large seat in MT?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2016, 04:54:24 PM »
« Edited: December 21, 2016, 05:02:20 PM by ERM64man »

This is hypothetical. After 2020 redistricting, if the population grows enough to gain a second seat. Should there be two districts or two at-large seats? I think a second at-large seat would make house races more competitive because with two districts; the Eastern district would be decided by Billings and Glendive, while Missoula would decide the outcome of the Western district.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2016, 05:43:32 PM »

2 districts, having two at-large districts is for the Senate.
Two at-large seats can also be for the House if it follows the rule of one person one vote distribution. With the cultural division between different regions, an at-large district would make the state more competitive. Two districts would make Missoula's district more Democratic and Glendive's more GOP.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2016, 05:50:11 PM »
« Edited: December 21, 2016, 05:51:49 PM by ERM64man »

I don't get At-Large House seats for states with more than 1 CD. Proportional.
The state would not have more than one district, it would have just one at-large district represented by two different House members elected separately. Two different districts in MT would each be more partisan.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: December 21, 2016, 09:31:28 PM »

I don't get At-Large House seats for states with more than 1 CD. Proportional.
The state would not have more than one district, it would have just one at-large district represented by two different House members elected separately. Two different districts in MT would each be more partisan.
One R+~6 and one Tossup/D+1 seems more likely.
What would an at-large district with two seats be: R+?, or D+?, or even? Each party would need to run two candidates in the same district, one for each of the two seats.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2016, 09:51:41 PM »
« Edited: December 21, 2016, 09:56:54 PM by ERM64man »

Why would two At-Large districts be radically different in terms of political leanings? Wouldn't every voter vote for both races?
They wouldn't be. Every voter would get to vote in both races. They wouldn't be. What would the PVI for MT-AL be?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: December 22, 2016, 01:45:49 PM »

Why would two At-Large districts be radically different in terms of political leanings? Wouldn't every voter vote for both races?
They wouldn't be. Every voter would get to vote in both races. They wouldn't be. What would the PVI for MT-AL be?
...exactly what it is at the moment?
What is the PVI right now?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: December 23, 2016, 10:41:02 PM »
« Edited: December 23, 2016, 10:43:30 PM by ERM64man »

Apparently only Hawaii and New Mexico are allowed multimember congressional districts.

https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/90-1967/h48

And since both states have significant minority populations, the VRA could still force them to have single member districts (or 2-1 for NM).
It looks like this law contradicts the Founding Fathers' original intent. Multimember districts make sense in densely packed urban areas where two single neighboring districts would be very tiny. In these urban areas, multimember districts can reduce disenfranchisement of minority voters. Multimember districts would also be less partisan by not being so geographically small. How would an originalist view this 1967 law?

http://archive.fairvote.org/library/history/flores/district.htm
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