The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Hindsight was 2020]

Morning Consult national poll on Trump job approval, conducted Feb. 24-26:

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015a-81a1-d487-a37e-edb1a8f30001
http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015a-819f-d2c6-a7db-d9bfcf110001

approve 50%
disapprove 45%

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: +5
Northeast: -8
South: +11
West: +7

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +15
blacks: -40
Hispanics: -5

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: +3
$50-100k: +6
over $100k: +11

6% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  13% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

Surely if the Democratic party keeps yelling Russia really loudly, they can beat him?

You were saying?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup: 43(nc)/50(-1)

[Hindsight was 2020]

http://wlns.com/2017/03/06/skubick-poll-shows-trump-support-base-eroding-in-michigan/

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Not shocking, he barely won the state an he won solely around TPP so the fact he is running more on his Wall an ban was going to lose Michigan the first.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup

Approve 42% (-1)
Disapprove 53% (+2)

The Twitter meltdown kicking in

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup, 3/7 - 3/9   1500 A

Approve      42% (+1)
Disapprove 52%  (-1)

Gallup, 3/8- 3/10   1500 A

Approve      44% (+2)
Disapprove  49% ( -3)


Trump's best numbers since January (Gallup).

A lot of Americans are still getting bamboozled.

nah, they're getting exactly what they wanted (a white nationalist administration)

Ahh, sort of!

Not a surprise his approval goes up in tracking polls whenever he has a week were he shuts up.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Rasmussen 3/5 - 3/9, 1500 LV  

Approve      48%(-1)
Disapprove 52%(+1)

Strongly:
Approve      32%(-1)
Disapprove 43%(+2)

Obama-effect...

Rasmussen 38 - 3/12, 1500 LV  

Approve      47% ( -1)
Disapprove  53% (+1)

Strongly:
Approve      31% (-1)
Disapprove  42% (-1)

Rasmussen shows -6 vs Gallup -4

Crazy theory could he start doing worse in Rasmussen because consertives are more pissed over the health care bill?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Trump continues to crash big league in Gallup. Down to 39/55 today. I suppose you could conclude that health care is taking a toll on his numbers.

0.0

[Hindsight was 2020]

Rasmussen 3/9 - 3/13, 1500 LV  

Approve      46% (-1)
Disapprove  53% (--)

Strongly:
Approve      30% (-1)
Disapprove  43% (+1)

Rasmussen 3/10 - 3/14, 1500 LV  

Approve      45% (-1)
Disapprove  54% (+1)

Strongly:
Approve      28% (-2)
Disapprove  44% (+1)

Ouch

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup: Trump 40 (+1)
                       54 (-1)

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup: 42/53

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup:

Approve: 41% (-1)
Disapprove: 54% (+1)

XD

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup: 40 (-1)
            55 (+1)

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup remains pretty stable today

Approve 39% (+-0)
Disapprove 56% (+1)

Awful but stable

[Hindsight was 2020]

A SurveyUSA poll of NY's 2nd CD:

43% Favorable
46% Unfavorable

This is a district Trump won by 9.1%. That poll also shows Peter King is beyond safe.

Steve Bellone should lick his lips at those #'s

[Hindsight was 2020]

Steve Bellone would probably make it a tossup/possibly leans D affair in an open seat just because he's that popular, but I doubt he could take out King.

I don't know I could see him beating King in 2018 I mean we are only 60 days in at the rate Trump's going he could be 32-35% approval an reps have no motivation to vote while the left is fired up in a way we haven't been in years

[Hindsight was 2020]

Marquette Poll of WI:

41% Approve
47% Disapprove

So the question is was Hillary just a bad fit for the state?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup:

Approve: 39% (-1)
Disapprove: 56% (+1)

Hahahaha

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup:

Approve: 41% (+2)
Disapprove: 54% (-2)

So he's in this 38-41 range

[Hindsight was 2020]

Echelon surveyed 'Trump Country', specifically counties he carried in 2016. They found his JA 50/41.

https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/845324024930619398

Is this an average of all Trump counties or just the Midwest ones?

Here is the page where they define it. https://medium.com/echelon-indicators/got-a-question-for-trump-country-fa3157dd0113#.nq0797tw7

50/41 isn't particularly stellar considering how many of those are 60-70% Trump counties.

But it still indicates that the areas that backed Trump most strongly are still behind him. Look at the 2018 Congressional Ballot too in those areas

Pubs are currently ahead 48-35 in the generic ballot: https://mobile.twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/845324622895759360

I think the only thing Democrats can count on if they want to regain congress is low Republican turnout.  The Republican base's support of the party probably won't erode much, if at all.

It's counties he won a lot of them are hardcore red counties so take that with a grain of salt

[Hindsight was 2020]

Interesting how AHCA failure will play out. I think that the pundits will be proven wrong

Yeah when a president fails on his first major legislation his #'s don't go up

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup: 40 (-1)/54 (nc)

[Hindsight was 2020]

Today's Gallup

Approve 36% (-4)
Disapprove 57% (+3)

0.0

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup:

Approve: 35% (-1)
Disapprove: 59% (+3)

Wow!

Hahahahahahahaha

[Hindsight was 2020]

538 added a new feature to their tracker. Trump vs former Presidents. Cool!

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/#historical

So the only other president who Trump comes close to is Ford........boy that is some winning

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup:
38 (+3)/57(+2) Oh no here comes his momentum back/s