2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 15, 2024, 09:25:44 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (search mode)
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4
Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 169753 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #50 on: May 06, 2020, 07:54:25 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on May 06, 2020, 05:59:45 PM
Apparently, Riggleman in VA-05 is expected to lose the nomination to Bob Good.

https://twitter.com/vapoliticalnews/status/1258150366060953600?s=21

This probably moves the seat from Likely R to Lean R.

And all because he officiated a same sex wedding. This is why I don't understand how some gay people can be Republicans.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #51 on: May 06, 2020, 11:22:44 PM »
Quote from: Sen. Dean Heller on May 06, 2020, 10:30:35 PM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on May 06, 2020, 07:54:25 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on May 06, 2020, 05:59:45 PM
Apparently, Riggleman in VA-05 is expected to lose the nomination to Bob Good.

https://twitter.com/vapoliticalnews/status/1258150366060953600?s=21

This probably moves the seat from Likely R to Lean R.

And all because he officiated a same sex wedding. This is why I don't understand how some gay people can be Republicans.

No, because he's also batsh**t crazy and writes books about Bigfoot.

That's like the least craziest thing I've read about a Republican since 2015.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #52 on: May 22, 2020, 07:22:24 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on May 22, 2020, 07:05:08 PM


Hills getting involved into the races probably to grift lol.

She's been through a lot. She has a right to speak.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #53 on: June 02, 2020, 10:04:18 AM »

So likely D.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #54 on: June 10, 2020, 04:42:36 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 10, 2020, 02:21:37 PM

WPA Intelligence (R)/Club for Growth
November 17-18, 2019
400 likely voters

Lara Trump 53%
Lazio 19%
Undecided 28%


What?
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #55 on: June 17, 2020, 09:26:07 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 17, 2020, 08:09:16 PM


Kind of rooting for Green here. I want the GOP brand to crash in Georgia.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #56 on: June 21, 2020, 11:32:10 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 21, 2020, 12:10:37 PM
https://thewashingtonsentinel.com/free-speech-candidate-laura-loomer-opens-9-point-lead-in-florida-congressional-race/

Laura Loomer's internal in FL-21 (published on June 20, but with no sampling period/size/MoE details otherwise released) has the following:

PRIMARY
51% Loomer
4% "Nearest challenger"
Apparently an 11% improvement for her on where the race was in January

GENERAL
65% Loomer (R)
19% Frankel (D)
Edit: correction - this topline is just for independents. Loomer has a "9 point lead" in the GE.

LOL I seriously want to see the cross tabs and the samples for this poll so I can laugh. 
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #57 on: June 23, 2020, 06:30:18 PM »

TWO MORE YEARS!

Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #58 on: June 25, 2020, 03:48:58 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on June 24, 2020, 08:32:28 PM


The suburban whiplash is real.


If there is any district in America that perfectly exhibits the suburban realignment, it's NJ-11.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #59 on: June 30, 2020, 01:58:30 PM »
Suffolk has the GCB at D +14 (51%/37%)

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/30/poll-biden-widens-lead-but-trump-has-enthusiasm-edge/3234610001/
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #60 on: June 30, 2020, 03:48:57 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 30, 2020, 09:19:43 AM
https://static.texastribune.org/media/files/bc453ab900a62c2a5139a494a15c0cfa/TX-06%20DCCC%20Analytics%20-%20Toplines%20-%202020.06.24.pdf

DCCC poll for TX-06
June 24-28, 2020
376 likely voters

D 46%
R 45%
Blank ballot/refused 9%

Candidates named:

Ron Wright (R) 45%
Stephen Daniel (D) 41%
Undecided 15%

Hopefully this means Crenshaw is also in trouble.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #61 on: July 08, 2020, 10:21:04 AM »
The GCB clocks in at D+11 (51% D/40% R) in the new YouGov poll.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/lraqqdhd7j/econTabReport.pdf
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #62 on: July 14, 2020, 11:16:28 PM »
Quote from: Rep. Gracile on July 14, 2020, 11:01:33 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on July 14, 2020, 10:44:02 PM


Lean D

This district is probably the easiest House pickup for Democrats after TX-23 and GA-07.

The two North Carolina districts are definitely the easiest.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #63 on: July 15, 2020, 04:45:04 PM »
« Edited: July 15, 2020, 04:57:35 PM by Make PA Blue Again! »
A Biden landslide will mean a down ballot landslide for Democrats. I find it hard to believe the polls are actually tightening, especially right now. Biden has been leading by double digits for over a month now.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #64 on: July 16, 2020, 08:40:04 AM »
This doesn’t sound like a tightening house race, especially if Dan Crenshaw is a target now.

Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #65 on: July 20, 2020, 04:45:02 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on July 20, 2020, 03:53:47 PM
That's ...bizarre.



This is a devastating poll for the Republicans. Trump won this district by 19 points in 2016.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #66 on: July 28, 2020, 02:59:21 PM »
« Edited: July 28, 2020, 03:43:48 PM by Make PA Blue Again! »
Colby College poll of ME-02

Golden (D-inc.): 45%
Craft (R): 33%
Other: 5%

https://t.co/bb15uw1OpO?amp=1
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #67 on: July 29, 2020, 10:32:23 AM »

That’s directly from the Kistner campaign. Ouch.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #68 on: August 04, 2020, 10:38:06 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on August 04, 2020, 08:51:15 AM
GA-06
North Star Opinion Research/Handel internal

McBath 48%
Handel 46%

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1290644125604368388

Handel was leading by 2 points in March.

Putting aside how horrendous this poll is for Handel, it is amazing how much this district has changed. Tom Price won it by 32 points just five years ago.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #69 on: August 06, 2020, 05:04:44 PM »
A Young Kim internal in the CA-39 rematch has her trailing Cisneros.

Cisneros (D-inc): 47%
Kim (R): 45%

https://t.co/H7tJHlB1F9
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #70 on: August 13, 2020, 10:14:10 AM »
« Edited: August 13, 2020, 10:24:14 AM by Make PA Blue Again! »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 13, 2020, 08:39:28 AM
Another NJ-02 poll. Appears Kennedy has a slight edge



Is Kennedy a strong candidate, or is her name propelling her?

That's an impressive lead.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #71 on: August 14, 2020, 10:37:16 PM »
Quote from: LCameronOR on August 14, 2020, 02:30:36 PM
TX-03 internal for Taylor shows him up 13 on Seikaly:

The presidential race in this district was not polled.

It probably was, but they didn't like what they saw.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #72 on: August 15, 2020, 11:46:18 AM »
Quote from: President Pericles on August 14, 2020, 11:38:17 PM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on August 14, 2020, 10:37:16 PM
Quote from: LCameronOR on August 14, 2020, 02:30:36 PM
TX-03 internal for Taylor shows him up 13 on Seikaly:

The presidential race in this district was not polled.

It probably was, but they didn't like what they saw.

If Taylor is outrunning Trump by double digits, that is pretty impressive and seems like something they'd want to publicise.

True, but at the same time, it would probably infuriate Trump.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #73 on: August 16, 2020, 01:35:18 PM »
The thing is, a plurality of voters still believe Trump will win the election. I have a hard time believing there will be any significant disparity between the support for Biden and the support for congressional Dems as long as that is the attitude of Americans.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,062
United States


P P
« Reply #74 on: August 20, 2020, 08:44:40 AM »
New DCCC poll has Goroff (D) leading Zeldin (R-inc.) in NY-01.

Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.063 seconds with 12 queries.