ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Nonsense. Gideon is the best possible candidate the Dems could’ve pulled for this race and anybody rating this any redder than Tilt R is being ridiculous. She’s gonna start off in the general with over $4 million on hand. She’s going to (hopefully) hammer Collins on her partisanship in every corner of the state.

She needs to convince those 31% of Democrats who, for some reason, approve of Collins that she is nothing but a rubber stamp for Trump’s agenda, and not the standard bearer of American centrism as she has always claimed.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

She seems decent, but we obviously need someone better.

You all keep saying this, but you can’t come up with anybody.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1154436030612869127

 

If this seat is open it would become Lean D Likely D(maybe even Likely if the ME GOP nominates a joke).

FTFY

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Collins is officially one of the most unpopular senators in the country according to morning consult's quarterly tracker. McConnell still has a wider net unpopularity, but Collins has the highest number of dissaprovers. It appears impeachment is doing her no favors.

https://morningconsult.com/2020/01/16/impeachment-trial-set-to-put-vulnerable-senate-republicans-in-a-familiar-bind/

Collins could very well meet the fate of Margaret Chase-Smith. Chase-Smith was a longtime, once-popular Republican Senator who was defeated for reelection at the end of her political career. But I still think she is more likely to narrowly hold on like Joe Manchin did. She's in for the fight of her life this year.

I think people keep overestimating her chances. Her approval is now in-line with Trump’s in the state.

She’s -10 with indys, -48 with Democrats, and only +23 with republicans. Her winning coalition is vanishing.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It's so frustrating hearing people compare Maine to North Dakota/Indiana/Missouri and thinking this will be a cakewalk. It's not the same at all. Indiana and Missouri were 6x as Republican as Maine in 2016, and North Dakota 12x as Republican. Collins may have lost a lot of crossover appeal, but she also doesn't need crossover appeal anymore.

First of all, nobody is saying this race will be a cake walk for the Democrats. I agree that Collins is no McCaskill or Heitkamp, but I do think she’s being overestimated. Second of all, your last sentence doesn’t make any sense. She DOES need crossover appeal. This is Maine, and even if it’s not as Democratic as it was in 2008, it’s still a blue state and she will need support from a decent amount of Democrats to win.