No, because NM is already lost for McCain, and Missouri and even Indiana would be too hard for Obama to win.
So, this one may be likelier:
McCain 277 - 261 Obama
Or even this one, to please Dem atlasians:
McCain 272 - 266 Obama
Of course, those maps are not my prediction, but they might be realistic surprises:
The Palin effect on conservatives and on blue-collar whites seem to be pretty effective in Montana, ND, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio, even PA, WI and MI (but not enough in some states).
It seems to be negative on the East Coast, including Virginia, NC and Florida.
The financial crisis, if it goes deeper, may eventually be a good thing for McCain: if public worry is very high, there might be people to go back to the old McCain.
But, sure, I think Michigan is likelier to swing than PA (with its Philly suburbs and many universities). So it may be this one:
McCain 273 - 265 Obama
Or, more probably, this national tie 269-269 (even if it's not the likeliest of 269 scenarios: the likeliest is Gore states+CO).
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