2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3 (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3  (Read 130506 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« on: September 29, 2018, 05:37:19 PM »
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 29, 2018, 04:21:41 PM
Can someone contact 538 about that misentered poll? It's screwing up all the forecasts.

What were they showing lol
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2018, 05:55:52 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 29, 2018, 05:49:31 PM
Quote from: The Saint on September 29, 2018, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 29, 2018, 04:21:41 PM
Can someone contact 538 about that misentered poll? It's screwing up all the forecasts.

What were they showing lol

They had a Harris D+7 poll entered as R+7.

Sorry I meant which races were they showing as being different than they should have been
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2018, 07:15:23 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 03:27:00 PM
AK-AL (Alaska Survey Research):



#IndependentWave #NoBlueWave #NoRedWave #PeoplesWave
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2018, 09:23:49 PM »
It would be great to see another independent get elected, especially from Alaska, which has a proud history of such voting.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2018, 10:56:37 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 18, 2018, 10:28:42 AM
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on October 18, 2018, 10:23:41 AM
New Jersey Generic Ballot:
Democratic - 56%
Republican - 36%

New Jersey House races were D+8 in 2016 and D+2 in 2014.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NJ_101818/

Wow.

If that number is accurate, an 11-1 map looks very probable. Even Chris Smith might get a closer shave than expected.

An 11-1 map has been very probably for awhile now. Lance was the only challenge for Democrats to achieving this, and being statistically tied as an incumbent of the party not favored in the midterm election never usually works out well, especially in a state that leans toward the favored party.
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